Question

In: Statistics and Probability

1 11 1.771 2 9 1.392 3 10 1.495 4 16 4.561 5 14 3.136 6...

1 11 1.771
2 9 1.392
3 10 1.495
4 16 4.561
5 14 3.136
6 11 1.606
7 15 2.835
8 10 1.317
9 9 0.925
10 10 1.761
11 9 0
12 19 5.902
13 17 4.624
14 9 0.84
15 12 2.802
16 15 3.789
17 8 1.334
18 7 1.244
19 12 1.578
20 8 1.231
21 9 1.693
22 3 0
23 11 2.035
24 11 1.885
25 12 1.482
26 14 3.719
27 14 1.333
28 15 2.244
29 7 0.572
30 9 1.924
31 9 1.413
32 9 0

nStandard methodology for a single sample mean can be used to calculate a confidence interval for the slope of the least‑squares line and to test hypotheses other than H0: ß1= 0. In both cases, one needs to have an estimate of the slope and of its standard deviation (sometimes called standard error). Furthermore, one needs to recognize that the degrees of freedom for the standard deviation is the same as the error degrees of freedom (n ‑ 2).

Note that the EXCEL gives the standard error of estimate directly, but correctly calls it the standard deviation of the slope. Therefore, you must not divide by the square root of sample sizeas in example 16.

Use the above information to calculate a 90% confidence interval for the slope of the true regression line. For 30 degrees of freedom and a= 0.1, the critical t‑value is 1.697.

16. What is the margin of error for calculating a 90% confidence interval for the slope of the regression line (i.e. 1.697 ´the standard deviation of the slope)?

17. What is the lower 90% confidence limit for the slope?
       (i.e. slope – margin of error)

18. What is the upper 90% confidence limit for the slope?

       (i.e. slope + margin of error)

                                                                                                                                                            

nUse this same information to calculate a statistic to test the null hypothesis H0: ß1= 0.05 against a one‑sided alternative H1: ß1> 0.05. Use a 1 percent significance level (for which the critical value is 2.423).

            Reminder:  t = estimated value - hypothesized value  =   slope -  0.05

                                    standard error (deviation) of estimate        st dev of slope

19. What is the value of the test statistic for testing this hypothesis?

Solutions

Expert Solution

16. What is the margin of error for calculating a 90% confidence interval for the slope of the regression line (i.e. 1.697 ´the standard deviation of the slope)?

0.063

17. What is the lower 90% confidence limit for the slope?
       (i.e. slope – margin of error)

0.2887

18. What is the upper 90% confidence limit for the slope?

       (i.e. slope + margin of error)

0.4153

19. What is the value of the test statistic for testing this hypothesis?

8.093

0.748
r   0.865
Std. Error   0.700
n   32
k   1
Dep. Var. Fatals
ANOVA table
Source SS   df   MS F p-value
Regression 43.5947 1   43.5947 88.98 1.75E-10
Residual 14.6983 30   0.4899
Total 58.2931 31  
Regression output confidence interval
variables coefficients std. error    t (df=30) p-value 90% lower 90% upper
Intercept -1.9425
Under 21 0.3520 0.0373 9.433 1.75E-10 0.2887 0.4153

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