In: Statistics and Probability
The table below includes results from polygraph (lie detector) experiments conducted by researchers. In each case, it was known if the subjected lied or did not lie, so the table indicates when the polygraph test was correct. Use a 0.05 significance level to test the claim that whether a subject lies is independent of the polygraph test indication. Do the results suggest that polygraphs are effective in distinguishing between truth and lies?
Did the Subject Actually Lie? |
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No (Did Not Lie) |
Yes (Lied) |
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Polygraph test indicated that the subject lied. |
13 |
20 |
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Polygraph test indicated that the subject did not lie. |
13 |
7 |
χ2equals=
P-value=
Do the results suggest that polygraphs are effective in distinguishing between truth and lies?
A.There is not sufficient evidence to warrant rejection of the claim that whether a subject lies is independent of the polygraph test indication.
B.There is sufficient evidence to warrant rejection of the claim that whether a subject lies is independent of the polygraph test indication.
C.There is not sufficient evidence to warrant rejection of the claim that polygraph testing is 95% accurate.
D.There is sufficient evidence to warrant rejection of the claim that polygraph testing is 95% accurate.
Applying chi square test of independence: |
Observed | column 1 | column 2 | Total | |
row 1 | 13 | 20 | 33 | |
row 2 | 13 | 7 | 20 | |
total | 26 | 27 | 53 | |
Expected | Ei=row total*column total/grand total | column 1 | column 2 | Total |
row 1 | 16.1900 | 16.8113 | 33 | |
row 2 | 9.8113 | 10.1887 | 20 | |
total | 26 | 27 | 53 | |
chi square χ2 | =(Oi-Ei)2/Ei | column 1 | column 2 | Total |
row 1 | 0.6285 | 0.6048 | 1.2334 | |
row 2 | 1.0363 | 0.9979 | 2.0343 | |
total | 1.6649 | 1.6027 | 3.2676 | |
test statistic X2 =3.268 (please try 3.27 if required to 2 decimals) | ||||
p value =0.0707 | (please try 0.071 if required to 3 decimals) |
A.There is not sufficient evidence to warrant rejection of the claim that whether a subject lies is independent of the polygraph test indication