Question

In: Statistics and Probability

The table below includes results from polygraph​ (lie detector) experiments conducted by researchers. In each​ case,...

The table below includes results from polygraph​ (lie detector) experiments conducted by researchers. In each​ case, it was known if the subjected lied or did not​ lie, so the table indicates when the polygraph test was correct. Use a 0.05 significance level to test the claim that whether a subject lies is independent of the polygraph test indication. Do the results suggest that polygraphs are effective in distinguishing between truth and​ lies?

Did the Subject Actually​ Lie?

No​ (Did Not​ Lie)

Yes​ (Lied)

Polygraph test indicated that the subject lied.

13

20

Polygraph test indicated that the subject did not lie.

13

7

χ2equals=

P-value=

Do the results suggest that polygraphs are effective in distinguishing between truth and​ lies?

A.There is not sufficient evidence to warrant rejection of the claim that whether a subject lies is independent of the polygraph test indication.

B.There is sufficient evidence to warrant rejection of the claim that whether a subject lies is independent of the polygraph test indication.

C.There is not sufficient evidence to warrant rejection of the claim that polygraph testing is​ 95% accurate.

D.There is sufficient evidence to warrant rejection of the claim that polygraph testing is​ 95% accurate.

Solutions

Expert Solution

Applying chi square test of independence:
Observed column 1 column 2 Total
row 1 13 20 33
row 2 13 7 20
total 26 27 53
Expected Ei=row total*column total/grand total column 1 column 2 Total
row 1 16.1900 16.8113 33
row 2 9.8113 10.1887 20
total 26 27 53
chi square    χ2 =(Oi-Ei)2/Ei column 1 column 2 Total
row 1 0.6285 0.6048 1.2334
row 2 1.0363 0.9979 2.0343
total 1.6649 1.6027 3.2676
test statistic X2 =3.268 (please try 3.27 if required to 2 decimals)
p value =0.0707 (please try 0.071 if required to 3 decimals)

A.There is not sufficient evidence to warrant rejection of the claim that whether a subject lies is independent of the polygraph test indication


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