In: Statistics and Probability
The table below includes results from polygraph (lie detector) experiments conducted by researchers. In each case, it was known if the subjected lied or did not lie, so the table indicates when the polygraph test was correct. Use a 0.05 significance level to test the claim that whether a subject lies is independent of the polygraph test indication. Do the results suggest that polygraphs are effective in distinguishing between truth and lies?
_
Did_Not_Lie Lied
Polygraph_indicated_lie
11 50
Polygraph_indicated_no_lie 17
15
Determine the null and alternative hypotheses.
A.Upper H 0: Whether a subject lies is independent of the polygraph test indication.
Upper H 1: Whether a subject lies is not independent of the polygraph test indication.
B.Upper H 0: Whether a subject lies is not independent of the polygraph test indication.
Upper H 1: Whether a subject lies is independent of the polygraph test indication.
C.Upper H 0: Polygraph testing is accurate.
Upper H 1: Polygraph testing is not accurate.
D.Upper H 0: Polygraph testing is not accurate.
Upper H 1: Polygraph testing is accurate.
Determine the test statistic.
chi squared=____________
(Round to three decimal places as needed.)
Determine the P-value of the test statistic.
P-value=________
(Round to four decimal places as needed.)
Do the results suggest that polygraphs are effective in distinguishing between truth and lies?
A.There is sufficient evidence to warrant rejection of the claim that polygraph testing is 95% accurate.
B.There is not sufficient evidence to warrant rejection of the claim that polygraph testing is 95% accurate.
C.There is sufficient evidence to warrant rejection of the claim that whether a subject lies is independent of the polygraph test indication.
D.There is not sufficient evidence to warrant rejection of the claim that whether a subject lies is independent of the polygraph test indication.
Here chi square test of independence will be used.
Hypotheses are:
A.Upper H 0: Whether a subject lies is independent of the polygraph test indication.
Upper H 1: Whether a subject lies is not independent of the polygraph test indication.
Following table shows the row total and columns total:
The subject actually did not lie | The subject actually lie | Total | |
Polygraph indiactes lie | 11 | 50 | 61 |
Polygraph indictaes truth | 17 | 15 | 32 |
Total | 28 | 65 | 93 |
Expected frequencies will be calculated as follows:
Following table shows the expected frequencies:
The subject actually did not lie | The subject actually lie | Total | |
Polygraph indiactes lie | 18.366 | 42.634 | 61 |
Polygraph indictaes truth | 9.634 | 22.366 | 32 |
Total | 28 | 65 | 93 |
Following table shows the calculations for chi square test statistics:
O | E | (O-E)^2/E |
11 | 18.366 | 2.954260917 |
17 | 9.634 | 5.631924019 |
50 | 42.634 | 1.272645213 |
15 | 22.366 | 2.425912367 |
Total | 12.28474252 |
The test statistics is
Degree of freedom: df =( number of rows -1)*(number of columns-1) = (2-1)*(2-1)=1
The p-value is : 0.0005
Since p-value is less than 0.05 so we reject the null hypothesis.
Correct option:
C.There is sufficient evidence to warrant rejection of the claim that whether a subject lies is independent of the polygraph test indication.