In: Statistics and Probability
A patient’s blood volume is often depleted after a major surgery, so a group of researchers designed a drug to increase plasma volume (in ml). They set up an experiment and measured the total circulating volume of blood plasma in a group of patients immediately after they had surgery, and then again one hour after an infusion of the drug into the bloodstream.
Suppose the researchers analyzed the experimental data and got a p-value of 0.13. What would be the appropriate conclusion? (1pt)
List a potential confounding variable for this study and briefly explain a possible impact it might have on the results. (2pt)
In the question, we are testing whether the infusion of the drug
increases the plasma volume in the blood of patients who had
undergone surgery. Our null hypothesis is that the infusion of the
drug has not increased the plasma volume, whereas the alternative
hypothesis will be that the drug has increased the plasma
volume.
Since the p-value of 0.13 is greater than the 0.05 significance
level, we fail to reject the null hypothesis and conclude that
there is not enough evidence to support the claim that the infusion
of the drug helps in increasing the plasma volume in the patients'
blood.
The confounding variable for this study would be the time after
which the drug has been infused. We don't know how much time has
elapsed between the surgery and the infusion of the drug. If the
time elapsed is less, then the plasma level after one hour of
infusion of the drug would be substantially higher than if the time
elapsed is higher.