In: Finance
Explain each of the following methods for the analysis of share prices:
Random walk theory
Technical (or chart) analysis
Fundamental analysis
RANDOM WALK THEORY | |||||||||
According to the random walk theory, stock prices take a random | |||||||||
and unpredictable path. Therefore it is not possible to outperform | |||||||||
the market. | |||||||||
The random walk theory is consistent with the efficient market hypothesis. | |||||||||
According to the efficient market hypothesis, the stock price reflect all | |||||||||
available information and the market price of a stock is the intrinsic value of the stock. | |||||||||
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS | |||||||||
Technical analysis is the analysis that is used to predict future stock prices based on | |||||||||
past market data primarily price and volume. | |||||||||
FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS | |||||||||
Fundamental analysis is the analysis of a stocks intrinsic value. | |||||||||
In other words, the analysis involves analysis of the economy, | |||||||||
analysis of the industry, and analysis of financial metrics of a company | |||||||||
to be able to predict the stock price. | |||||||||
Fundamental analysis is used to estimate whether a stock is undervalued | |||||||||
or overvalued in the market. |