In: Statistics and Probability
Questions 1-6 are based on the following scenario: | |||||||||||
Designers of backpacks use exotic material such as supernylon Delrin, high-density | |||||||||||
ethylene, aircraft aluminum, and thermo molded floam to make packs that fit comfortably | |||||||||||
and distribute weight to eliminate pressure points. The following data show the capacity | |||||||||||
(cubic inches), comfort rating, and price (dollars) for 10 backpacks tested by Outside | |||||||||||
Magazine. Comfort was measured using a rating from 1 to 5, with a rating of 1 denoting | |||||||||||
average comfort and a rating of 5 denoting excellent comfort. Regress price on comfort | |||||||||||
and capacity using excel and answer the following questions. (Place your answers in the highlighted cells below.) | |||||||||||
Data for this scenario is as follows: | |||||||||||
Manufacturer & Model | Capacity | Comfort | Price($) | ||||||||
Camp Trails Paragon | 4330 | 2 | 190 | ||||||||
EMS 5500 | 5500 | 3 | 219 | ||||||||
Lowe Almayo | 5500 | 4 | 249 | ||||||||
Marmot Muir | 4700 | 3 | 249 | ||||||||
Kelly Bigfoot | 5200 | 4 | 250 | ||||||||
Gregory Whitney | 5500 | 4 | 340 | ||||||||
Osprey 75 | 4700 | 4 | 389 | ||||||||
Arc' Teryx Bora | 5500 | 5 | 395 | ||||||||
Dana Design Terraplane | 5800 | 5 | 439 | ||||||||
The Works @ Mystery | 5000 | 5 | 525 | ||||||||
1. What is the interpretation of adjusted R-square for this problem? | |||||||||||
2. What price would you predict for a backpack with a mean capacity of 5700 (cubic inches) and comfort rating of 4? | |||||||||||
3. Provide the appropriate test statistic and p-value for assessing whether there is evidence that comfort aids in predicting price. | |||||||||||
4. Provide an interpretation for the sample regression coefficient of capacity. | |||||||||||
5. Is the overall model significant at 0.05 level of significance? Why or Why not. | |||||||||||
6. Does capacity aid in predicting price at 0.05 level of significance? Why or Why not. | |||||||||||
Regression Statistics | ||||||||
Multiple R | 0.912053596 | |||||||
R Square | 0.831841762 | |||||||
Adjusted R Square | 0.783796551 | |||||||
Standard Error | 51.13629498 | |||||||
Observations | 10 | |||||||
ANOVA | ||||||||
df | SS | MS | F | Significance F | ||||
Regression | 2 | 90548.05535 | 45274.02768 | 17.31372898 | 0.001949905 | |||
Residual | 7 | 18304.44465 | 2614.920664 | |||||
Total | 9 | 108852.5 | ||||||
Coefficients | Standard Error | t Stat | P-value | Lower 95% | Upper 95% | Lower 95.0% | Upper 95.0% | |
Intercept | 356.1208346 | 197.1740072 | 1.806124649 | 0.113859072 | -110.1216045 | 822.3632737 | -110.1216045 | 822.3632737 |
Capacity | -0.098744049 | 0.045876543 | -2.15238646 | 0.068372268 | -0.207224835 | 0.009736736 | -0.207224835 | 0.009736736 |
Comfort | 122.8672136 | 21.79975287 | 5.63617461 | 0.000785707 | 71.31898932 | 174.4154379 | 71.31898932 | 174.4154379 |
Answer 1. R2 adjusted =0.7837. R2 adjusted tells the predictive capability of the model. R2 adjusted tells the variability in the response variable explained by only those regressors which are actually effecting the response variable. If you see, the p-value of the regression coefficient of Capacity is 0.0683 >0.05. Hence at a 5% level of significance, we do not reject H0. And p-value of the regression coefficient of Comfort is 0.0007 <0.05. Hence at a 5% level of significance, we reject H0.
Test of Hypothesis (Individual Coefficients)
H0: The regression coefficient is not significantly different from 0.(i.e.,bi=0)against H1: the Regression coefficient is significantly different from 0.
Hence Comfort is significantly contributing to the model and Capacity is not significant. R2 adjusted tells the variability in the price explained by the regressor Comfort. Hence, 78.37% variability in the price explained by the regressor Comfort.
Answer 2.
Fitted Model: price_cap= 356.1208 -0.09874Capacity + 122.8672 Comfort
price_cap=
284.7486073 |
Answer 3
Test of Hypothesis
H0: The regression coefficient of comfort is not significantly different from 0.against H1: the Regression coefficient of comfort is significantly different from 0.
Let b2 be the regression coefficient of comfort
Test statistics: t =(b2_cap- b2)/s.e(b2_cap) where s.e(b2_cap)= standard error of the b2_cap
t= 5.6361 and p-value=0.000785.
p-value of regression coefficient of Comfort is 0.0007 <0.05. Hence at 5% level of significance we reject H0. Hence Comfort is significantly contributing to the model.
Answer 4
The sample regression coefficient of capacity is actually the rate of change of price with respect to capacity which is -0.098744. It means as the capacity increases the price decreases. The unit increase in capacity decreases the price by 0.0987.
Answer 5
Test of Hypothesis
H0: The regression coefficient is not significantly different from 0.(i.e.,b1=b2=0)
against H1: the Regression coefficient is significantly different from 0.
F= 17.31372 is greater than F critical value (2,7)=4.74 at a 5% level f significance. Hence We reject H0. Hence, the overall model is significant.
Answer 6
Test of Hypothesis
H0: The regression coefficient of capacity is not significantly different from 0.against H1: the Regression coefficient of capacity is significantly different from 0.
Note that, the p-value of the regression coefficient of Capacity is 0.0683 >0.05. Hence at a 5% level of significance, we do not reject H0. Hence, the Regression coefficient of Capacity is not significantly different from 0.