In: Finance
Here is the information that William has accumulated so far:
The Capital Budgeting Projects
He must choose one of the four capital budgeting projects listed below:
Table 1
t |
A |
B |
C |
D |
0 |
(19,000,000) |
(20,000,000) |
(18,900,000) |
(19,500,000) |
1 |
5,200,000 |
5,700,000 |
6,080,000 |
6,600,000 |
2 |
8,300,000 |
8,000,000 |
6,080,000 |
8,100,000 |
3 |
6,100,000 |
6,300,000 |
6,080,000 |
6,100,000 |
4 |
6,100,000 |
4,400,000 |
6,080,000 |
6,100,000 |
Risk |
High |
Average |
Low |
Average |
Table 1 shows the expected after-tax operating cash flows for each project. All projects are expected to have a 4 year life. The projects differ in size (the cost of the initial investment), and their cash flow patterns are different. They also differ in risk as indicated in the above table.
The capital budget is $22 million and the projects are mutually exclusive.
Capital Structures
Grand Island Hotel has the following capital structure, which is considered to be optimal:
Debt |
45% |
Preferred Equity |
5% |
Common Equity |
50% |
100% |
Cost of Capital
William knows that in order to evaluate the projects he will have to determine the cost of capital for each of them. He has been given the following data, which he believes will be relevant to his task.
(1)The firm’s tax rate is 38%.
(2) Grand Island Hotel has issued a 9% semi-annual coupon bond with 15 years term to maturity. The current trading price is $960.
(3) The firm has issued some preferred stock which pays an annual 8.5% dividend of $100 par value, and the current market price is $98.
(4) The firm’s stock is currently selling for $88 per share. Its last dividend (D0) was $4.5, and dividends are expected to grow at a constant rate of 7.5%. The current risk free return offered by Treasury security is 2.5%, and the market portfolio’s return is 8%. Grand Island Hotel has a beta of 2.1. For the bond-yield-plus-risk-premium approach, the firm uses a risk premium of 3.9%.
(5) The firm adjusts its project WACC for risk by adding 1.8% to the overall WACC for high-risk projects and subtracting 2% for low-risk projects.
William knows that Grand Island Hotel executives have favored IRR in the past for making their capital budgeting decisions. His professor at Seattle U. said NPV was better than IRR. His textbook says that MIRR is also better than IRR. He is the new kid on the block and must be prepared to defend his recommendations.
First, however, William must finish the analysis and write his report. To help begin, he has formulated the following questions:
(1) What is the estimated cost of common equity using the CAPM approach?
(2) What is the estimated cost of common equity using the DCF approach?
(3) What is the estimated cost of common equity using the bond-yield-plus-risk-premium approach?
(4) What is the final estimate for rs?
Table 2
A |
B |
C |
D |
|
WACC |
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NPV |
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IRR |
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MIRR |
a] | Before tax cost of debt = YTM | |||||||||
YTM using an online calculator = 9.51% | ||||||||||
[Inputs: Current price = $960; coupon 9%; Years to | ||||||||||
maturity 15, payment interval = 2] | ||||||||||
After tax cost of debt = 9.51%*(1-38%) = | 5.90% | |||||||||
b] | Cost of preferred stock = 8.5/98 = | 8.67% | ||||||||
c] | Constant dividend growth model: | |||||||||
Cost of equity = 4.5*1.075/88+0.075 = | 13.00% | |||||||||
CAPM: | ||||||||||
Cost of equity = 2.5%+2.1*(8%-2.5%) = | 14.05% | |||||||||
Bond yield plus risk premium: | ||||||||||
Cost of equity = 9.51%+3.9% = | 13.41% | |||||||||
Final estimate for rs = (13%+14.05%+13.41%)/3 = | 13.49% | |||||||||
d] | Overall WACC = 5.90%*45%+8.67%*5%+13.49%*50% = | 9.83% | ||||||||
e] | No, the overall WACC should not be used as the | |||||||||
discount rate for all the projects as the projects | ||||||||||
have different risks. Adjustments in the WACC for | ||||||||||
projects with lower/higher risk than the average | ||||||||||
projects. | ||||||||||
f] | WACC of each project is: | |||||||||
A = 9.83%+1.8% = | 11.63% | |||||||||
B = 9.83%+0 = | 9.83% | |||||||||
C = 9.83%-2.00% = | 7.83% | |||||||||
D = 9.83%+0% = | 9.83% | |||||||||
g] | PROJECT A: | |||||||||
Year | Cash flows | PVIF at 11.63% | PV at 11.63% | PVIF at 13% | PV at 13% | PVIF at 14% | PV at 14% | FVIF at 11.63% | FV at 11.63% | |
0 | $ -1,90,00,000 | 1.00000 | $-1,90,00,000 | 1 | $ -1,90,00,000 | 1 | $ -1,90,00,000 | |||
1 | $ 52,00,000 | 0.89582 | $ 46,58,246 | 0.88496 | $ 46,01,770 | 0.87719 | $ 45,61,404 | 1.39105 | $ 72,33,461 | |
2 | $ 83,00,000 | 0.80249 | $ 66,60,644 | 0.78315 | $ 65,00,117 | 0.76947 | $ 63,86,580 | 1.24613 | $1,03,42,843 | |
3 | $ 61,00,000 | 0.71888 | $ 43,85,176 | 0.69305 | $ 42,27,606 | 0.67497 | $ 41,17,326 | 1.11630 | $ 68,09,430 | |
4 | $ 61,00,000 | 0.64399 | $ 39,28,313 | 0.61332 | $ 37,41,244 | 0.59208 | $ 36,11,690 | 1.00000 | $ 61,00,000 | |
$ 6,32,380 | $ 70,738 | $ -3,23,000 | $3,04,85,734 | |||||||
NPV = | $ 6,32,380 | |||||||||
IRR = 13%+1%*70738/(70738+323000) = | 13.18% | |||||||||
MIRR = (30485734/19000000)^(1/4)-1 = | 12.55% | |||||||||
PROJECT B: | ||||||||||
Year | Cash flows | PVIF at 9.83% | PV at 9.83% | PVIF at 8% | PV at 8% | PVIF at 9% | PV at 9% | FVIF at 9.83% | FV at 9.83% | |
0 | $ -2,00,00,000 | 1.00000 | $-2,00,00,000 | 1 | $ -2,00,00,000 | 1 | $ -2,00,00,000 | |||
1 | $ 57,00,000 | 0.91050 | $ 51,89,839 | 0.92593 | $ 52,77,778 | 0.91743 | $ 52,29,358 | 1.32484 | $ 75,51,580 | |
2 | $ 80,00,000 | 0.82901 | $ 66,32,053 | 0.85734 | $ 68,58,711 | 0.84168 | $ 67,33,440 | 1.20626 | $ 96,50,103 | |
3 | $ 63,00,000 | 0.75481 | $ 47,55,296 | 0.79383 | $ 50,01,143 | 0.77218 | $ 48,64,756 | 1.09830 | $ 69,19,290 | |
4 | $ 44,00,000 | 0.68725 | $ 30,23,909 | 0.73503 | $ 32,34,131 | 0.70843 | $ 31,17,071 | 1.00000 | $ 44,00,000 | |
$ -3,98,902 | $ 3,71,763 | $ -55,375 | $2,85,20,973 | |||||||
NPV = | $ -3,98,902 | |||||||||
IRR = 8%+1%*371763/(371763+55375) = | 8.87% | |||||||||
MIRR = (28520973/20000000)^(1/4)-1 = | 9.28% | |||||||||
PROJECT C: | ||||||||||
Year | Cash flows | PVIF at 7.83% | PV at 7.83% | PVIF at 10% | PV at 10% | PVIF at 11% | PV at 11% | FVIF at 7.83% | FV at 7.83% | |
0 | $ -1,89,00,000 | 1.00000 | $-1,89,00,000 | 1 | $ -1,89,00,000 | 1 | $ -1,89,00,000 | |||
1 | $ 60,80,000 | 0.92739 | $ 56,38,505 | 0.90909 | $ 55,27,273 | 0.90090 | $ 54,77,477 | 1.25377 | $ 76,22,938 | |
2 | $ 60,80,000 | 0.86004 | $ 52,29,069 | 0.82645 | $ 50,24,793 | 0.81162 | $ 49,34,664 | 1.16273 | $ 70,69,404 | |
3 | $ 60,80,000 | 0.79759 | $ 48,49,364 | 0.75131 | $ 45,67,994 | 0.73119 | $ 44,45,644 | 1.07830 | $ 65,56,064 | |
4 | $ 60,80,000 | 0.73968 | $ 44,97,231 | 0.68301 | $ 41,52,722 | 0.65873 | $ 40,05,084 | 1.00000 | $ 60,80,000 | |
$ 13,14,168 | $ 3,72,782 | $ -37,130 | $2,73,28,406 | |||||||
NPV = | $ 13,14,168 | |||||||||
IRR = 10%+1%*372782/(372782+37130) = | 10.91% | |||||||||
MIRR = (27328406/18900000)^(1/4)-1 = | 9.66% | |||||||||
PROJECT D: | ||||||||||
Year | Cash flows | PVIF at 9.83% | PV at 9.83% | PVIF at 15% | PV at 15% | PVIF at 14% | PV at 14% | FVIF at 9.83% | FV at 9.83% | |
0 | $ -1,95,00,000 | 1.00000 | $-1,95,00,000 | 1 | $ -1,95,00,000 | 1 | $ -1,95,00,000 | |||
1 | $ 66,00,000 | 0.91050 | $ 60,09,287 | 0.86957 | $ 57,39,130 | 0.87719 | $ 57,89,474 | 1.32484 | $ 87,43,934 | |
2 | $ 81,00,000 | 0.82901 | $ 67,14,954 | 0.75614 | $ 61,24,764 | 0.76947 | $ 62,32,687 | 1.20626 | $ 97,70,729 | |
3 | $ 61,00,000 | 0.75481 | $ 46,04,335 | 0.65752 | $ 40,10,849 | 0.67497 | $ 41,17,326 | 1.09830 | $ 66,99,630 | |
4 | $ 61,00,000 | 0.68725 | $ 41,92,238 | 0.57175 | $ 34,87,695 | 0.59208 | $ 36,11,690 | 1.00000 | $ 61,00,000 | |
$ 20,20,814 | $ -1,37,562 | $ 2,51,177 | $3,13,14,294 | |||||||
NPV = | $ 20,20,814 | |||||||||
IRR = 14%+1%*251177/(251177+137562) = | 14.65% | |||||||||
MIRR = (31314294/19500000)^(1/4)-1 = | 12.57% | |||||||||
CHOICE: | ||||||||||
The results are tabulated below: | ||||||||||
Project | NPV | IRR | MIRR | Discount Rate | Accept/Reject | |||||
A | $ 6,32,380 | 13.18% | 12.55% | 11.63% | Accept | |||||
B | $ -3,98,902 | 8.87% | 9.28% | 9.83% | Reject | |||||
C | $ 13,14,168 | 10.91% | 9.66% | 7.83% | Accept | |||||
D | $ 20,20,814 | 14.65% | 12.57% | 9.83% | Accept | |||||
Of the 4 mutually exclusive projects, Project B is to be rejected as it has negative NPV and IRR/MIRR are less than required | ||||||||||
rate of return. | ||||||||||
Of the remaining 3 projects, Project D with higher NPV, IRR and MIRR is to be selected. |