Question

Some people believe that individuals who appear on the cover of the football game Madden NFL will soon have a serious injury. Can you evaluate this belief with an experiment? Explain your answer.

Answer 1

This belief can be made strong or banished with the help of an expirement. The aim of the experiment is to find the chance of players who have appeared on the cover of the football game Madden NFL to get injured. And we know probability is all about chance.

So here we first of all find out the total number of football players. Let that be T(say).

Next we find the total number of players who have been injured. Let that be M. (Say)

Now we find the number of players who have appeared on the cover on that particular year,let that be C(say).

Now out of that C players we find the number of players who have been injured,let that be D(say).

Now our question is:

What is the probability that the player is injured given that he appeared on the cover? Clearly this is a conditional probabilty.

That is.

P{(player injured)and(player appeared on cover)}÷P(player injured)

=P(D÷T)÷P(M÷T)

If that probability is high then the belief can be accepted if it is less than .5 it can be rejected.