Question

Allergic reactions to poison ivy can be miserable. Plant oils cause the reaction. Researchers at Allergy Institute did a study to determine the effects of washing the oil off within 5 minutes of exposure. A random sample of 1000 people with known allergies to poison ivy participated in the study. Oil from the poison ivy plant was rubbed on a patch of skin. For 500 of the subjects, it was washed off within 5 minutes. For the other 500 subjects, the oil was washed off after 5 minutes. The results are summarized in the following table. Reaction Within 5 Minutes After 5 Minutes Row Total None Mild Strong 419 65 16 40 322 138 459 387 154 Column Total 500 500 1000 Let's use the following notation for the various events: W = washing oil off within 5 minutes, A = washing oil off after 5 minutes, N = no reaction, M = mild reaction, S = strong reaction. Find the following probabilities for a person selected at random from this sample of 1000 subjects. (Use 3 decimal places.) (a) P(N) P(M) P(S) (b) P(N | W) P(S | W) (c) P(N | A) P(S | A) (d) P(N and W) P(M and W) (e) P(N or M).

Answer 1