In: Statistics and Probability
The following table shows the miles per gallon of various cars and their weight in pounds. Suppose we are interested in predicting the miles per gallon of a car based on its weight.
Car |
Weight |
MPG |
Buick Lucerne |
3735 |
17 |
Cadillac CTS |
3860 |
16 |
Chevrolet Cobalt |
2721 |
25 |
Chevrolet Impala |
3555 |
19 |
Chrysler Sebring Sedan |
3319 |
21 |
Dodge Caliber |
2966 |
23 |
Dodge Charger |
3727 |
17 |
Ford Focus |
2605 |
24 |
Ford Mustang |
3473 |
19 |
Lincoln MKZ |
3796 |
17 |
Mercury Sable |
3310 |
18 |
Compute the correlation coefficient, and explain what this tells us about the relationship between weight and MPG of a car. (2pts)
Give the equation of the regression line. (2pts)
Write a sentence interpreting the y-intercept. (2pts)
Write a sentence interpreting the slope. (2pts)
A Subaru Legacy weighs 3500 pounds. Using the equation of the regression line, what would you predict the MPG of this car to be? (2pts)
The approximate fuel mileage of a Subaru Legacy is 25 MPG. Give the residual for the Subaru Legacy. (2pts)
Answer:
Follow the given procedure to perform Regression Analysis in MS-Excel.
Enter the given data into Excel worksheet as,
Car | Weight (x) | MPG (y) |
Buick Lucerne | 3735 | 17 |
Cadillac CTS | 3860 | 16 |
Chevrolet Cobalt | 2721 | 25 |
Chevrolet Impala | 3555 | 19 |
Chrysler Sebring Sedan | 3319 | 21 |
Dodge Caliber | 2966 | 23 |
Dodge Charger | 3727 | 17 |
Ford Focus | 2605 | 24 |
Ford Mustang | 3473 | 19 |
Lincoln MKZ | 3796 | 17 |
Mercury Sable | 3310 | 18 |
1.Enter the data into Excel sheet. |
2.If this is the first time you have used an Excel add-in, click the File tab, otherwise skip to step 7. |
3.Click Options from the list on the left. |
4.Select Add-ins in the Excel Options box. |
5.In the Add-in list box, select Analysis Toolbox-VBA from the Inactive Application Add-ins list. |
6.Click OK. |
7.Then select Data/ Data Analysis tab from the menu bar. |
8.The Data Analysis dialog box will appear on the screen. |
9.From the Data Analysis dialog box, select Regression and click OK. |
10.The Regression dialog box will appear on the screen. |
11.Place independent variables (Weight) in Input X Range and place dependent variable (MPG) in Input Y Range. |
12.Place appropriate confidence level in Confidence Level box. (If necessary) |
13.Click OK. |
The MS Excel output is as follows: |
Summary:
Regression Statistics | |
Multiple R | 0.959626 |
R Square | 0.920883 |
Adjusted R Square | 0.912092 |
Standard Error | 0.93075 |
Observations | 11 |
ANOVA Table:
df | SS | MS | F | Significance F | |
Regression | 1 | 90.7488 | 90.7488 | 104.7551 | 2.95E-06 |
Residual | 9 | 7.796653 | 0.866295 | ||
Total | 10 | 98.54545 |
Coefficients | Standard Error | t Stat | P-value | |
Intercept | 42.90678 | 2.290867 | 18.72949 | 1.62E-08 |
Weight (slope) | -0.00691 | 0.000675 | -10.235 | 2.95E-06 |
Now,
I)
Correlation between Weight and MPG:
Procedure:
1.Enter the data into Excel sheet. |
2.If this is the first time you have used an Excel add-in, click the File tab, otherwise skip to step 7. |
3.Click Options from the list on the left. |
4.Select Add-ins in the Excel Options box. |
5.In the Add-in list box, select Analysis Toolbox-VBA from the Inactive Application Add-ins list. |
6.Click OK. |
7.Then select Data/ Data Analysis tab from the menu bar. |
8.The Data Analysis dialog box will appear on the screen. |
9.From the Data Analysis dialog box, select Correlation and click OK. |
10.The Correlation dialog box will appear on the screen. |
11.Give the range of data (Select the columns corresponding to weight and MPG) in Input Range. |
12.Then select the Columns options in the Grouped By tab. Then click on Labels in first row. |
13.Give the Output Range. Click OK. |
The MS Excel output will appear on the screen. |
The output is,
Weight | MPG | |
Weight | 1 | |
MPG | -0.95963 | 1 |
From the above output, the correlation between weight and MPG is r = -9596.
Here we conclude that, there is strongly negative relationship (inverse correlation) between weight and MPG of a car i.e., they are uncorrelated.
II)
From above output, the equation of regression line is given by,
where x = weight of car and = predicred MPG of a car.
III)
Interpretation of y-intercept:
The y-intercept is simply the value at which the fitted line crosses the y-axis. The intercept is the expected mean value of y whrn all x = 0.
IV)
Here slope = -0.0069
The function with negative slope represents a negative correlation between two variables.
We conclude that, the MPG is expected to increase (or decrease) by 0.0069 on average per every 1 pound decrease (or increase) in weight.
V)
A Subaru Legacy weighs 3500 pounds i.e., x = 3500
Then from the above regression equation, the predicted value of MPG is given by,
Therefore, the predicted MPG for Sabaru Legacy car with weight 3500 pounds is 19.