In: Statistics and Probability
The following table shows the miles per gallon of various cars and their weight in pounds. Suppose we are interested in predicting the miles per gallon of a car based on its weight.
| 
 Car  | 
 Weight  | 
 MPG  | 
| 
 Buick Lucerne  | 
 3735  | 
 17  | 
| 
 Cadillac CTS  | 
 3860  | 
 16  | 
| 
 Chevrolet Cobalt  | 
 2721  | 
 25  | 
| 
 Chevrolet Impala  | 
 3555  | 
 19  | 
| 
 Chrysler Sebring Sedan  | 
 3319  | 
 21  | 
| 
 Dodge Caliber  | 
 2966  | 
 23  | 
| 
 Dodge Charger  | 
 3727  | 
 17  | 
| 
 Ford Focus  | 
 2605  | 
 24  | 
| 
 Ford Mustang  | 
 3473  | 
 19  | 
| 
 Lincoln MKZ  | 
 3796  | 
 17  | 
| 
 Mercury Sable  | 
 3310  | 
 18  | 
Compute the correlation coefficient, and explain what this tells us about the relationship between weight and MPG of a car. (2pts)
Give the equation of the regression line. (2pts)
Write a sentence interpreting the y-intercept. (2pts)
Write a sentence interpreting the slope. (2pts)
A Subaru Legacy weighs 3500 pounds. Using the equation of the regression line, what would you predict the MPG of this car to be? (2pts)
The approximate fuel mileage of a Subaru Legacy is 25 MPG. Give the residual for the Subaru Legacy. (2pts)
Answer:
Follow the given procedure to perform Regression Analysis in MS-Excel.
Enter the given data into Excel worksheet as,
| Car | Weight (x) | MPG (y) | 
| Buick Lucerne | 3735 | 17 | 
| Cadillac CTS | 3860 | 16 | 
| Chevrolet Cobalt | 2721 | 25 | 
| Chevrolet Impala | 3555 | 19 | 
| Chrysler Sebring Sedan | 3319 | 21 | 
| Dodge Caliber | 2966 | 23 | 
| Dodge Charger | 3727 | 17 | 
| Ford Focus | 2605 | 24 | 
| Ford Mustang | 3473 | 19 | 
| Lincoln MKZ | 3796 | 17 | 
| Mercury Sable | 3310 | 18 | 
| 1.Enter the data into Excel sheet. | 
| 2.If this is the first time you have used an Excel add-in, click the File tab, otherwise skip to step 7. | 
| 3.Click Options from the list on the left. | 
| 4.Select Add-ins in the Excel Options box. | 
| 5.In the Add-in list box, select Analysis Toolbox-VBA from the Inactive Application Add-ins list. | 
| 6.Click OK. | 
| 7.Then select Data/ Data Analysis tab from the menu bar. | 
| 8.The Data Analysis dialog box will appear on the screen. | 
| 9.From the Data Analysis dialog box, select Regression and click OK. | 
| 10.The Regression dialog box will appear on the screen. | 
| 11.Place independent variables (Weight) in Input X Range and place dependent variable (MPG) in Input Y Range. | 
| 12.Place appropriate confidence level in Confidence Level box. (If necessary) | 
| 13.Click OK. | 
| The MS Excel output is as follows: | 
Summary:
| Regression Statistics | |
| Multiple R | 0.959626 | 
| R Square | 0.920883 | 
| Adjusted R Square | 0.912092 | 
| Standard Error | 0.93075 | 
| Observations | 11 | 
ANOVA Table:
| df | SS | MS | F | Significance F | |
| Regression | 1 | 90.7488 | 90.7488 | 104.7551 | 2.95E-06 | 
| Residual | 9 | 7.796653 | 0.866295 | ||
| Total | 10 | 98.54545 | 
| Coefficients | Standard Error | t Stat | P-value | |
| Intercept | 42.90678 | 2.290867 | 18.72949 | 1.62E-08 | 
| Weight (slope) | -0.00691 | 0.000675 | -10.235 | 2.95E-06 | 
Now,
I)
Correlation between Weight and MPG:
Procedure:
| 1.Enter the data into Excel sheet. | 
| 2.If this is the first time you have used an Excel add-in, click the File tab, otherwise skip to step 7. | 
| 3.Click Options from the list on the left. | 
| 4.Select Add-ins in the Excel Options box. | 
| 5.In the Add-in list box, select Analysis Toolbox-VBA from the Inactive Application Add-ins list. | 
| 6.Click OK. | 
| 7.Then select Data/ Data Analysis tab from the menu bar. | 
| 8.The Data Analysis dialog box will appear on the screen. | 
| 9.From the Data Analysis dialog box, select Correlation and click OK. | 
| 10.The Correlation dialog box will appear on the screen. | 
| 11.Give the range of data (Select the columns corresponding to weight and MPG) in Input Range. | 
| 12.Then select the Columns options in the Grouped By tab. Then click on Labels in first row. | 
| 13.Give the Output Range. Click OK. | 
| The MS Excel output will appear on the screen. | 
The output is,
| Weight | MPG | |
| Weight | 1 | |
| MPG | -0.95963 | 1 | 
From the above output, the correlation between weight and MPG is r = -9596.
Here we conclude that, there is strongly negative relationship (inverse correlation) between weight and MPG of a car i.e., they are uncorrelated.
II)
From above output, the equation of regression line is given by,

where x = weight of car and 
 = predicred MPG of a car.
III)
Interpretation of y-intercept:
The y-intercept is simply the value at which the fitted line crosses the y-axis. The intercept is the expected mean value of y whrn all x = 0.
IV)
Here slope = -0.0069
The function with negative slope represents a negative correlation between two variables.
We conclude that, the MPG is expected to increase (or decrease) by 0.0069 on average per every 1 pound decrease (or increase) in weight.
V)
A Subaru Legacy weighs 3500 pounds i.e., x = 3500
Then from the above regression equation, the predicted value of MPG is given by,

Therefore, the predicted MPG for Sabaru Legacy car with weight 3500 pounds is 19.