In: Statistics and Probability
Listed below are altitudes (thousands of feet) and outside air temperatures (°F) recorded during a flight. Find the (a) explained variation, (b) unexplained variation, and(c) indicated prediction interval. There is sufficient evidence to support a claim of a linear correlation, so it is reasonable to use the regression equation when making predictions. For the prediction interval, use a 95% confidence level with the altitude of 6327 ft (or 6.327 thousand feet).
Altitude |
4 |
11 |
15 |
20 |
29 |
31 |
33 |
|
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Temperature |
56 |
30 |
21 |
−2 |
−31 |
−41 |
-52 |
Altitude, X | Temperature, Y | XY | X² | Y² |
4 | 56 | 224 | 16 | 3136 |
11 | 30 | 330 | 121 | 900 |
15 | 21 | 315 | 225 | 441 |
20 | -2 | -40 | 400 | 4 |
29 | -31 | -899 | 841 | 961 |
31 | -41 | -1271 | 961 | 1681 |
33 | -52 | -1716 | 1089 | 2704 |
Ʃx = | Ʃy = | Ʃxy = | Ʃx² = | Ʃy² = |
143 | -19 | -3057 | 3653 | 9827 |
Sample size, n = | 7 |
x̅ = Ʃx/n = | 20.42857 |
y̅ = Ʃy/n = | -2.71429 |
SSxx = Ʃx² - (Ʃx)²/n = | 731.714 |
SSyy = Ʃy² - (Ʃy)²/n = | 9775.43 |
SSxy = Ʃxy - (Ʃx)(Ʃy)/n = | -2668.86 |
a) Explained variation, SSR = SSxy²/SSxx = 9734.3985
b) Unexplained variation, SSE = SSyy - SSxy²/SSxx = 41.0301
c) Slope, b = SSxy/SSxx = -3.64740
y-intercept, a = y̅ -b* x̅ = 71.79695
Regression equation :
ŷ = 71.797 + (-3.6474) x
Predicted value of y at x = 6.327
ŷ = 71.797 + (-3.6474) * 6.327 = 48.7198
Significance level, α = 0.05
Critical value, t_c = T.INV.2T(0.05, 5) = 2.5706
Standard error, se = √(SSE/(n-2)) = 2.8646
95% prediction interval :