In: Statistics and Probability
1. A pro basketball player is a poor free-throw shooter. Consider situations in which he shoots a pair of free throws. The probability that he makes the first free throw is 0.51. Given that he makes the first, suppose the probability that he makes the second is 0.64. Given that he misses the first, suppose the probability that he makes the second one is 0.36.
What is the Probability he makes both free throws?
2. The most likely scenario for an accident for a natural gas pipeline is natural-gas leakage from a hole in the pipeline. The probability that the leak ignites immediately (I) causing a jet fire is .03. If the leak does not immediately ignite, it may result in the delayed ignition (D) of a gas cloud. If there is no delayed ignition, the gas cloud will disperse harmlessly (H). Given no immediate ignition, the probability of delayed ignition causing a flash fire is .03. Suppose a leak occurs in the natural-gas pipeline.
The probability that either a jet fire or a flash fire will occur is?
3. Red snapper is a rare and expensive reef fish served at upscale restaurants. A certain law prohibits restaurants from serving a cheaper, look-alike variety of fish (vermilion snapper or lane snapper) to customers who order red snapper. Researchers at a university used DNA analysis to examine fish specimens labeled "red snapper" that were purchased form vendors across the country. The DNA tests revealed that 78% of the specimens were not red snapper, but the cheaper, look-alike variety of fish.
Assuming that the results of the DNA analysis are valid, what is the probability that you are actually served red snapper the next time you order it at a restaurant?
The probability is?