In: Economics
What is a hypothesis and discuss what you believe to be the most critical element in the procedure for testing a hypothesis?
Hypothesis refers to the assumption
taken up about a statement that needs to be tested using
statistical methods. It will be of two types. The first is null
hypothesis that says that there is no significant difference in the
standard statement and the second is alternative hypothesis that
says that there is a significant difference.
For example, if a bike manufacturer test 50 bikes and find the
average mileage to be 70 KM/lt., but in reality there is a mileage
of 80 KM/lt.
Here,
Null hypothesis (µo) : Mileage = 70KM / lt.
Alternative Hypothesis (µ1) : Mileage ≠ 70KM / lt.
It is the confidence level or significant level of the hypothesis
test that is most important. With an increase in confidence level
(such as 95% or 97.5), the testing becomes more stringent and it
affects the result whether the observation is statistically
significant or insignificant. So, it is very important to consider
the suitable confidence level to get the optimum result.