In: Statistics and Probability
Use the following subset of a random digit table (50 digits).
21052 65031 45074 92846 67815 78231 01548 20235 56410 82713
Develop and document a Simulation to describe the scenarios
proposed. Using
your Simulation method and the digit table values above, run your
simulation and calculate your
Observed simulation statistic.
a) Flipping 2 coins and observing 2 heads.
b) Representing the % of left-handed people, claimed as 12%.
a).
Probability of getting 2 heads after flipping 2 coins is 0.5*0.5=0.25
So, we need random number consisting of 2 digits to perform our simulation. We assign the random numbers as follows.
Event | Probability | Cumulative probability | Random number interval |
2 heads | 0.25 | 0.25 | 00-24 |
Other than 2 heads | 0.75 | 1.00 | 25-99 |
Our simulation table is as follows.
We notice 7 instances of 2 heads out of 50 instances.
So, simulated probability of observing 2 heads after flipping 2 coins is 7/50 = 0.14
b).
Probability of getting a left handed people is 0.12.
So, we need random number consisting of 2 digits to perform our simulation. We assign the random numbers as follows.
Event | Probability | Cumulative probability | Random number interval |
Left handed | 0.12 | 0.12 | 00-11 |
Right handed | 0.88 | 1.00 | 12-99 |
Our simulation table is as follows.
We notice 5 instances of left handed people out of 50 instances.
So, simulated probability of left handed people is 5/50 = 0.1
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