In: Statistics and Probability
3.66 Random digit telephone dialing. An opinion poll in California uses random digit dialing to choose telephone numbers at random. Numbers are selected separately within each California area code. The size of the sample in each area code is proportional to the population living there.
(a) What is the name for this kind of sampling design?
(b) California area codes, in rough order from north to south, are
209 | 213 | 310 | 323 | 341 | 369 | 408 | 415 | 424 | 442 |
510 | 530 | 559 | 562 | 619 | 626 | 627 | 628 | 650 | 657 |
661 | 669 | 707 | 714 | 747 | 752 | 760 | 764 | 805 | 818 |
831 | 858 | 909 | 916 | 925 | 935 | 949 | 951 |
Another California survey does not call numbers in all area codes but starts with an SRS of eight area codes. Choose such an SRS. If you use Table B, start at line 132.
TABLE B Random Digits
Line | ||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
101 | 19223 | 95034 | 05756 | 28713 | 96409 | 12531 | 42544 | 82853 |
102 | 73676 | 47150 | 99400 | 01927 | 27754 | 42648 | 82425 | 36290 |
103 | 45467 | 71709 | 77558 | 00095 | 32863 | 29485 | 82226 | 90056 |
104 | 52711 | 38889 | 93074 | 60227 | 40011 | 85848 | 48767 | 52573 |
105 | 95592 | 94007 | 69971 | 91481 | 60779 | 53791 | 17297 | 59335 |
106 | 68417 | 35013 | 15529 | 72765 | 85089 | 57067 | 50211 | 47487 |
107 | 82739 | 57890 | 20807 | 47511 | 81676 | 55300 | 94383 | 14893 |
108 | 60940 | 72024 | 17868 | 24943 | 61790 | 90656 | 87964 | 18883 |
109 | 36009 | 19365 | 15412 | 39638 | 85453 | 46816 | 83485 | 41979 |
110 | 38448 | 48789 | 18338 | 24697 | 39364 | 42006 | 76688 | 08708 |
111 | 81486 | 69487 | 60513 | 09297 | 00412 | 71238 | 27649 | 39950 |
112 | 59636 | 88804 | 04634 | 71197 | 19352 | 73089 | 84898 | 45785 |
113 | 62568 | 70206 | 40325 | 03699 | 71080 | 22553 | 11486 | 11776 |
114 | 45149 | 32992 | 75730 | 66280 | 03819 | 56202 | 02938 | 70915 |
115 | 61041 | 77684 | 94322 | 24709 | 73698 | 14526 | 31893 | 32592 |
116 | 14459 | 26056 | 31424 | 80371 | 65103 | 62253 | 50490 | 61181 |
117 | 38167 | 98532 | 62183 | 70632 | 23417 | 26185 | 41448 | 75532 |
118 | 73190 | 32533 | 04470 | 29669 | 84407 | 90785 | 65956 | 86382 |
119 | 95857 | 07118 | 87664 | 92099 | 58806 | 66979 | 98624 | 84826 |
120 | 35476 | 55972 | 39421 | 65850 | 04266 | 35435 | 43742 | 11937 |
121 | 71487 | 09984 | 29077 | 14863 | 61683 | 47052 | 62224 | 51025 |
122 | 13873 | 81598 | 95052 | 90908 | 73592 | 75186 | 87136 | 95761 |
123 | 54580 | 81507 | 27102 | 56027 | 55892 | 33063 | 41842 | 81868 |
124 | 71035 | 09001 | 43367 | 49497 | 72719 | 96758 | 27611 | 91596 |
125 | 96746 | 12149 | 37823 | 71868 | 18442 | 35119 | 62103 | 39244 |
126 | 96927 | 19931 | 36089 | 74192 | 77567 | 88741 | 48409 | 41903 |
127 | 43909 | 99477 | 25330 | 64359 | 40085 | 16925 | 85117 | 36071 |
128 | 15689 | 14227 | 06565 | 14374 | 13352 | 49367 | 81982 | 87209 |
129 | 36759 | 58984 | 68288 | 22913 | 18638 | 54303 | 00795 | 08727 |
130 | 69051 | 64817 | 87174 | 09517 | 84534 | 06489 | 87201 | 97245 |
131 | 05007 | 16632 | 81194 | 14873 | 04197 | 85576 | 45195 | 96565 |
132 | 68732 | 55259 | 84292 | 08796 | 43165 | 93739 | 31685 | 97150 |
133 | 45740 | 41807 | 65561 | 33302 | 07051 | 93623 | 18132 | 09547 |
134 | 27816 | 78416 | 18329 | 21337 | 35213 | 37741 | 04312 | 68508 |
135 | 66925 | 55658 | 39100 | 78458 | 11206 | 19876 | 87151 | 31260 |
136 | 08421 | 44753 | 77377 | 28744 | 75592 | 08563 | 79140 | 92454 |
137 | 53645 | 66812 | 61421 | 47836 | 12609 | 15373 | 98481 | 14592 |
138 | 66831 | 68908 | 40772 | 21558 | 47781 | 33586 | 79177 | 06928 |
139 | 55588 | 99404 | 70708 | 41098 | 43563 | 56934 | 48394 | 51719 |
140 | 12975 | 13258 | 13048 | 45144 | 72321 | 81940 | 00360 | 02428 |
141 | 96767 | 35964 | 23822 | 96012 | 94591 | 65194 | 50842 | 53372 |
142 | 72829 | 50232 | 97892 | 63408 | 77919 | 44575 | 24870 | 04178 |
143 | 88565 | 42628 | 17797 | 49376 | 61762 | 16953 | 88604 | 12724 |
144 | 62964 | 88145 | 83083 | 69453 | 46109 | 59505 | 69680 | 00900 |
145 | 19687 | 12633 | 57857 | 95806 | 09931 | 02150 | 43163 | 58636 |
146 | 37609 | 59057 | 66967 | 83401 | 60705 | 02384 | 90597 | 93600 |
147 | 54973 | 86278 | 88737 | 74351 | 47500 | 84552 | 19909 | 67181 |
148 | 00694 | 05977 | 19664 | 65441 | 20903 | 62371 | 22725 | 53340 |
149 | 71546 | 05233 | 53946 | 68743 | 72460 | 27601 | 45403 | 88692 |
150 | 07511 | 88915 | 41267 | 16853 | 84569 | 79367 | 32337 | 03316 |
Solution
Part (a)
Name of the sampling design: PPS (Probability Proportional to Size) Sampling. Answer 1
Explanation:
In SRS (Simple Random Sampling), all population units have equal chance (probability) of being selected into the sample. Under PPS, the population consists of a number of sub-populations with varying number of units and the chance (probability) of being selected into the sample depends on the size of the sub-population.
Part (b)
Procedure:
Step 1
Serially number the given area codes from left to right Line 1 down to Line 4, as shown below:
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
209 |
213 |
310 |
323 |
341 |
369 |
408 |
415 |
424 |
442 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
510 |
530 |
559 |
562 |
619 |
626 |
627 |
628 |
650 |
657 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
26 |
27 |
28 |
29 |
30 |
661 |
669 |
707 |
714 |
747 |
752 |
760 |
764 |
805 |
818 |
31 |
32 |
33 |
34 |
35 |
36 |
37 |
38 |
||
831 |
858 |
909 |
916 |
925 |
935 |
949 |
951 |
Step 2
With the given excerpt of random numbers, starting from Line 132 and moving towards right, pick up 2-digit numbers. Discard a random number if it is greater than 76 [38 x 2].
Divide the picked random number by 38 and obtain the remainder. If this remainder is a repeat, again discard the random number.
Continue the process till 8 acceptable numbers are obtained.
Step 3
Select the area code corresponding to the accepted result in the above step as sample.
Actual sampling
Random Number |
68 |
73 |
25 |
52 |
59 |
84 |
29 |
20 |
87 |
96 |
43 |
Sr.No. of area code |
30 |
35 |
25 |
14 |
21 |
R |
29 |
20 |
R |
R |
5 |
Area code |
818 |
925 |
747 |
562 |
661 |
- |
805 |
657 |
- |
- |
341 |
Thus, the sample consists of area codes:
341, 562, 657, 661, 747, 805, 818 and 925. Answer 2
DONE