In: Advanced Math
Project Risk = Probability of event * Consequences of event
Let’s investigate the quantitative risk identified for a company, last year.
Probability of Failure Category |
Probability of Failure |
Consequences of Failure Category |
Process Maturity |
30% |
Performance = 55% |
Technical Complexity |
25% |
Schedule = 75% |
Vendor Dependency |
30% |
Cost = $55 |
Workforce Availability |
10% |
Reliability = 20% |
Use the table above to answer the following questions:
(Hint: Total Risk Factor = (Pf + Cf) - (Pf*Cf) Where P = Average probability of failure and C = Average Consequences of Failure. A common rule of thumb assigns any project with a Risk Factor of below 0.30 as low risk, with a Risk Factor of between 0.30 and 0.70 as medium risk, and Risk Factor over 0.7 as high risk).
For the first part i have given handwritten answer and rest of the anwer is typed
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now for the second part we have,
Probability of Failure Category |
Probability of Failure |
Consequences of Failure Category |
Project Risk = Probability of Failure* Consequences of Failure Category |
Risk Mitigation |
Process Maturity |
30% |
Performance = 55% |
=30%*55%=16.5% |
Process Maturity could be greatest challenge for any organization, here, Process should be identified and studied well, team members must gain their knowledge on the process, next thing is the process must be reviewed through simulation, prototyping and user case development, here, we must find the issues applicable with the processes and fix such issues by finding root causes of such problem. We must develop standard operating procedures and method sheet that can be followed by operators, |
Technical Complexity |
25% |
Schedule = 75% |
=25%*75%=18.75% |
The technical complexity can be happened due to lack of expertise and it requires strengthening focus on research and development activities, here, we must be having technical expert to solve such queries, |
Vendor Dependency |
30% |
Cost = $55 |
=30%*55=16.5 |
Vendor dependency require improvement in supply chain map and activities, here, supply chain should build sustainable and long term relationship with the vendors, further, such dependency should be reviewed over time to meet the goals of organization. |
Workforce Availability |
10% |
Reliability = 20% |
=10%*20%=2% |
Workforce availability can be depending on availability of skills and expertise in the vicinity, further, organization can improve their training program and evaluation strategy to mitigate such problem. |
Here, we should definitely give strong focus on all the factors as each factor has different or distinct side effects on the health of Organization, further, Technical complexity could be considered as one of the essential focus, here, organization should improve over their functional issues.
Reduction of risk meaning taking careful steps to reduce the probability of a loss, or to reduce the seriousness of a conceivable loss. Risk is about vulnerability. On the off chance that you put a system around that vulnerability, at that point, you viably de-risk your venture. What's more, that implies you can move substantially more unhesitatingly to accomplish your task objectives. By recognizing and dealing with an extensive rundown of venture risks, horrendous shocks and boundaries can be reduced and brilliant open doors found.
It comes with a cost.