In: Math
Use the given degree of confidence and sample data to construct a confidence interval for the population proportion p.
A survey of 865 voters in one state reveals that 408 favor approval of an issue before the legislature. Construct the 95% confidence interval for the true proportion of all voters in the state who favor approval.
Solution :
Given that,
n = 865
x = 408
= x / n = 408 / 865 = 0.47
1 -
= 1 - 0.47 = 0.53
At 95% confidence level the z is ,
= 1 - 95% = 1 - 0.95 = 0.05
/ 2 = 0.05 / 2 = 0.025
Z
/2
= Z0.025 = 1.96
Margin of error = E = Z
/ 2 * [(
* (1 -
) / n]
= 1.96 * ([(0.47 * 0.53) / 865]
= 0.0333
A 95% confidence interval for population proportion p is ,
- E < P <
+ E
0.47 - 0.0333 < p < 0.47 + 0.0333
0.4367 < p < 0.5033
(0.4367, 0.5033)