In: Finance
. Douglas Controls, Inc. is considering two mutually exclusive, equally risky, and not repeatable projects, S and L. Their cash flows are shown below. The CEO believes the IRR is the best selection criterion, while the CFO advocates the NPV. If the decision is made by choosing the project with the higher IRR rather than the one with the higher NPV, how much, if any, value will be forgone, i.e., what's the chosen NPV versus the maximum possible NPV? Note that (1) "true value" is measured by NPV, and (2) under some conditions the choice of IRR vs. NPV will not affect the value gained or lost.
Douglas has a weighted average cost of capital (WACC) of 8.50%
Year 0 1 2 3 4
CF S -$1,100 $550 $600 $100 $100
CF L -$2,700 $550 $725 $845 $1,400
Solution:
1) Concept
> NPV - Net present value (NPV) is the difference between the present value of cash inflows and the present value of cash outflows over a period of time. NPV is used in capital budgeting and investment planning to analyze the profitability of a projected investment or project.
> IRR - The internal rate of return (IRR) is a metric used in capital budgeting to estimate the profitability of potential investments. The internal rate of return is a discount rate that makes the net present value (NPV) of all cash flows from a particular project equal to zero.
2) Calculation:
> NPV
- Project S
Year | Cashflows | Present Value @ 8.5% |
0 | -1100 | -1100 |
1 | 550 | 506.91 |
2 | 600 | 509.67 |
3 | 100 | 78.29 |
4 | 100 | 72.15 |
NPV | 67.03 |
- Project L
Year | Cashflows | Present Value @ 8.5% |
0 | -2700 | -2700 |
1 | 550 | 506.91 |
2 | 725 | 615.86 |
3 | 845 | 661.56 |
4 | 1400 | 1010.20 |
NPV | 94.53 |
> IRR
- Project S
Year | Cashflows | Present Value @ 12% | Present Value @ 13% |
0 | -1100 | -1100 | -1100 |
1 | 550 | 491.07 | 486.73 |
2 | 600 | 478.32 | 469.89 |
3 | 100 | 71.18 | 69.31 |
4 | 100 | 63.55 | 61.33 |
PV | 4.12 | -12.75 |
IRR of the project lies between 12 and 13 %.
By interpolation we get IRR = 12.24%
- Project L
Year | Cashflows | Present Value @ 9% | Present Value @ 10% |
0 | -2700 | -2700 | -2700 |
1 | 550 | 504.59 | 500 |
2 | 725 | 610.22 | 599.17 |
3 | 845 | 652.50 | 634.86 |
4 | 1400 | 991.80 | 956.22 |
PV | 59.10 | -9.75 |
IRR of the project lies between 9 and 10 %.
By interpolation we get IRR = 9.86%
3) Decision Making
Technique | Project S | Project L | Decision |
NPV | 67.03 | 94.53 | Project L should be selected since it has higher NPV |
IRR | 12.24% | 9.86% | Project S be selected since higher IRR. |
If project is selected based on IRR than the NPV forgone would be $ 27.50 [94.53 - 67.03].
Note : As understood from the question, no other requirement was there. Please let us know if anything more to be added.
Hope you understand the solution.