In: Statistics and Probability
1) Use the sample data and confidence level given below to complete parts (a) through (d). A research institute poll asked respondents if they felt vulnerable to identity theft. In the poll, n = 1004 and x = 547 who said "yes." Use a 99 % confidence level.
a) Find the best point estimate of the population proportion p.
b) Identify the value of the margin of error E
c) Construct the confidence interval.
d) Write a statement that correctly interprets the confidence interval. Choose the correct answer below.
A. There is a 99% chance that the true value of the population proportion will fall between the lower bound and the upper bound.
B. One has 99% confidence that the interval from the lower bound to the upper bound actually does contain the true value of the population proportion.
C. 99% of sample proportions will fall between the lower bound and the upper bound.
D. One has 99% confidence that the sample proportion is equal to the population proportion.
2). Assume that we want to construct a confidence interval. Do one of the following, as appropriate: (a) find the critical value t Subscript alpha divided by 2tα/2, (b) find the critical value z Subscript alpha divided by 2zα/2, or (c) state that neither the normal distribution nor the t distribution applies. The confidence level is 99%, sigmaσequals=3577 thousand dollars, and the histogram of 55 player salaries (in thousands of dollars) of football players on a team is as shown.
3).
Assume that we want to construct a confidence interval. Do one of the following, as appropriate: (a) find the critical value t Subscript alpha divided by 2tα/2, (b) find the critical value z Subscript alpha divided by 2zα/2, or (c) state that neither the normal distribution nor the t distribution applies. The confidence level is 90%, sigmaσ is not known, and the histogram of 53 player salaries (in thousands of dollars) of football players on a team is as shown. |
a)
Level of Significance, α =
0.01
Number of Items of Interest, x =
547
Sample Size, n = 1004
Sample Proportion , p̂ = x/n =
0.545
b)
z -value = Zα/2 = 2.576 [excel
formula =NORMSINV(α/2)]
Standard Error , SE = √[p̂(1-p̂)/n] =
0.0157
margin of error , E = Z*SE = 2.576
* 0.0157 = 0.0405
c)
99% Confidence Interval is
Interval Lower Limit = p̂ - E = 0.545
- 0.0405 = 0.5043
Interval Upper Limit = p̂ + E = 0.545
+ 0.0405 = 0.5853
99% confidence interval is (
0.5043 < p < 0.5853
)
d)
B. One has 99% confidence that the interval from the lower bound
to the upper bound actually does contain the true value of the
population proportion
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