In: Math
A certain region would like to estimate the proportion of voters who intend to participate in upcoming elections. A pilot sample of 25 voters found that 17 of them intended to vote in the election. Determine the additional number of voters that need to be sampled to construct a 99% interval with a margin of error equal to 0.07 to estimate the proportion.
The region should sample ___________ additional voters. (Round up to the nearest integer.)
_______________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
Determine the sample size n needed to construct a 90% confidence interval to estimate the population proportion for the following sample proportions when the margin of error equals 4%.
a. p overbar=0.20
b. p overbar=0.30
c. p overbar=0.40
a. n=___________(Round up to the nearest integer.)
Solution :
Given that,
1)
n = 25
x = 17
= x / n = 0.68
1 -
= 0.32
margin of error = E = 0.07
At 99% confidence level the z is ,
= 1 - 99% = 1 - 0.99 = 0.01
/ 2 = 0.01 / 2 = 0.005
Z/2
= Z0.005 = 2.576
sample size = n = (Z
/ 2 / E )2 *
* (1 -
)
= (2.576 / 0.07)2 * 0.68 * 0.32
= 294.68
sample size = 295
The region should sample 295 additional voters.
2)
a)
margin of error = E = 0.04
= 0.20
1 -
= 0.80
At 90% confidence level the z is ,
= 1 - 90% = 1 - 0.90 = 0.10
/ 2 = 0.10 / 2 = 0.05
Z/2
= Z0.05 = 1.645
sample size = n = (Z
/ 2 / E )2 *
* (1 -
)
= (1.645 / 0.04)2 *0.20 * 0.80
= 270.60
sample size = 271
b)
= 0.30
1 -
= 0.70
Z/2
= Z0.05 = 1.645
sample size = n = (Z
/ 2 / E )2 *
* (1 -
)
= (1.645 / 0.04)2 *0.30* 0.70
= 355.17
sample size = 356
c)
= 0.40
1 -
= 0.60
Z/2
= Z0.05 = 1.645
sample size = n = (Z
/ 2 / E )2 *
* (1 -
)
= (1.645 / 0.04)2 *0.40* 0.60
= 405.90
sample size = 406