In: Economics
Write on bitcoin as a currency revolution
The digital currency known as bitcoin is only six years old, and many of its critics are already declaring it dead. But such dire predictions miss a far more important point: Whether bitcoin survives or not, the technology underlying it is here to stay. In fact, that technology will become ever more influential as developers create newer, better versions and clones.
No digital currency will soon dislodge the dollar, but bitcoin is much more than a currency. It is a radically new, decentralized system for managing the way societies exchange value. It is, quite simply, one of the most powerful innovations in finance in 500 years.
If applied widely to the inner workings of our global economy, this model could slash trillions in financial fees; computerize much of the work done by payment processors, government property-title offices, lawyers and accountants; and create opportunities for billions of people who don't currently have bank accounts. Great value will be created, but many jobs also will be rendered obsolete.
Bitcoin has some indisputable flaws, at least in its current iteration. Its price fluctuates too wildly. (Who wants the cost of their groceries to vary by 10% from week to week?) Its anonymity has made it a haven for drug dealers. “Wallets” (as the individual software applications that manage bitcoin holdings are known) have proven vulnerable to cyberattack and pillaging, including the wallets of big exchanges such as Tokyo’s Mt. Gox and Slovenia’s Bitstamp.
Even though the core program that runs bitcoin has resisted six years of hacking attempts, the successful attacks on associated businesses have created the impression that bitcoin isn’t a safe way to store money. Until these perceptions are overcome or bitcoin is replaced by a superior digital currency, the public will remain suspicious of the concept, and regulators will be tempted to quash it.
Like any young technology, bitcoin is a work in progress, but its groundbreaking core software program is constantly being improved. It is open-source and copyright-free, and thus accessible to anyone who wants to peer inside it, copy it, suggest improvements or create applications for it.
The workings of bitcoin and other digital currencies can be confusing. When we think of a currency in the abstract, we tend to think of a physical currency in the offline world—a dollar bill or a gold coin—so we imagine bitcoin as some sort of digitally rendered equivalent, much as a Word document is a digital stand-in for a physical page of text.
But there is no such thing as the digital equivalent of a dollar bill. Bitcoins exist purely as entries in an accounting system—a transparent public ledger known as the “blockchain” that records balances and transfers among special bitcoin “addresses.” Owning bitcoin doesn’t mean having a digital banknote in a digital pocket; it means having a claim to a bitcoin address, with a secret password, and the right to transfer its balances to someone else.
Write a annotated bibliography on bitcoin:
Barber, Simon, et al. “Bitter to better—how to make bitcoin a better currency.”Financial Cryptography and Data Security. Springer Berlin Heidelberg, 2012. 399-414.
Bernes, Richard. “ Digital Currencies Will Endure.” Bitcoin Vox. N.p., 9 Mar. 2014. Web. 17 Mar. 2014.
Dougherty, Carter. 2013. “Bankers Balking at Bitcoin in U.S. as Real-World Obstacles Mount.” Bloomberg Personal Finance. N.p., 5 Dec. 2013. Web. 24 Mar 3.
Gruber, John and Fleishman, Glenn. “Heart of a Gambler.” 23:25– The Talk Show. March 7, 2014. Mule Radio Syndicate.
Kaplanov, Nikolei. “Nerdy money: Bitcoin, the private digital currency, and the case against its regulation.” (2012).
King, Richie S. and Williams, Sam and Yanofsky, David. “By Reading This Page, You Are Mining Bitcoin.” Quartz Top News. 17 Dec. 2013.
Kondor, Daniel, Marton Posfai, Istvan Csabai, and Gabor Vattay. “Do the rich get richer? An empirical analysis of the Bitcoin transaction network.” PLoS One 9.2 (2014): 1-10.
This article uses Bitcoin as a tool to analyse money in general, but there is some great data here. The authors show that there is such thing as a Matthew Effect (rich get richer). Nodes (people) who are bigger (have more money and make more transactions), are more likely to get bigger (make more money and conduct more transactions), relative to the average node. The social network analysis is cool, but the reason we could find this interesting is because they use Bitcoin.
The authors recognize that Bitcoin is the first universal ledger system. That means that all transactions and money movements are visible in a way that has never been possible in a non-experimental environment. They go back and parse the entire transaction block chain, finding 13 million nodes (users all-time) and 44 million edges (transactions), as of May 2013. Using this data, they confirm the above-stated hypothesis that wealthy people make more money. However, that they use Bitcoin data means that their discussion is based on the Bitcoin economy. They discuss the potential effects of anonymous trading on behavior and Bitcoin, the nature of transactions, inequality, and how Bitcoin creates a network.
Lemieux, Pierre. “Who is Satoshi Nakamoto?” Regulation 3 (2013): 14-15.
Nakamoto, Satoshi. N.d. “Bitcoin: A Peer-to-Peer Electronic Cash System.” Web. 24 Mar 2014.
Ober, Micha, Stefan Katzenbeisser, and Kay Hamacher. “Structure and Anonymity of the Bitcoin Transaction Graph.” Future Internet 5 (2013): 237-250.
“Bitcoin’s COO Explains What Bitcoin Is” Prod. Conan O’Brien. Conan. 11 Mar. 2014. TBS Network.
Plassaras, Nicholas. “Regulating Digital Currencies: Bringing Bitcoin within the Reach of the IMF.” Chicago Journal of International Law 14.1 (2014): 377 – 407.
Short version: Explains how Bitcoins work, gives pros and cons, explains the role of the IMF and currencies, what happens when Bitcoin is unregulated, and how the IMF should consider regulating it.
Long version: One of the advantages of Bitcoin is reduced banking costs, estimating savings of up to 50% relative to physical currency. The author explains that increased interaction with software-based finances is an externality, teaching users computer skills. Finally, digital currencies are a more efficient currency, in that they are a medium of exchange, a unit of measure of worth, and a store of value, just like physical currency but with lower costs.
However, digital currencies are uncertain and volatile because they have no physical or fiat backing. In addition, there is no significant regulation to protect users. Externalities go both ways; digital currencies benefit from increased returns of scale. Without sufficient scale, they lose their efficiency advantages.
Digital currencies counter part of the mission of the IMF, stabilizing exchange rates. Because it is unregulated, it is prone to a speculative attack by a significantly wealthy individual, particularly because no organization can keep a large enough reserve of Bitcoin. The IMF is well-situated to outlast these attacks, but needs to have functions added to its charter. Direct and indirect methods of control are discussed.
Ramzan, Zulfikar. 2013. “Bitcoin: What is it?” Khan Academy N.p., 3 May 2013. Online course. 18 Mar. 2014.
Rose, Scott. “Current Criticisms of Bitcoin Are at Least 10 Years Too Early.” CoinDesk RSS. N.p., 9 Mar. 2014. Web. 17 Mar. 2014.
Rotman, Sarah. 2014. “Bitcoin vs Electronic Money.” CGAP Publications N.p., 23 Jan. 2014. Web. 8 Mar. 2014.
Shieber, Jonathan. “Goldman Sachs: Bitcoin Is Not A Currency.” TechCrunch. N.p., 12 Mar. 2012. Web. 17 Mar. 2014.
Shrem, Charlie. “Nothing New Under The Sun, Bitcoin Edition.” Falkvinge & Co. on Infopolicy. N.p., 5 Mar. 2014. Web. 17 Mar. 2014.
Southurst, Jon. “Bitcoin helps Iranian shoe store overcome international trade sanctions.” CoinDesk. N.p., 5 Nov. 2013. Web. 18 Mar. 2014.
Stokes, Robert. “Virtual money laundering: the case of Bitcoin and the Linden dollar.” Information & Communications Technology Law 21.3 (2012): 221-236.
Short version: Money laundering through Bitcoin and Linden dollar are possible in theory, but are prohibitive in the amount that can be done quickly and the cost of laundering the money.
Long version: Laundering is possible in any area where value can fluctuate, whether from gambling, currency trade, human labor, or many others. Laundering has evolved with technology. As technology gets better at identifying and stopping laundering, criminals use technology to better hide their transactions. The Financial Action Task Force publishes reports that discuss many types of financial maneuvers, including laundering in digital currencies.
Bitcoin (and Linden dollar) are attractive for laundering because they are accessible at all times in all places. No central body is made aware of transactions, so no one overseer can watch and block transactions. Further, all transactors are anonymous in trading. Some characteristics can be divined, but a professional laundering may be able to obscure these enough to prevent tracking.
However, they are not good tools right now because of the low amount of currency in the economy. Large laundering operations would be immediately identified because they would use large amounts of the available currency.
Digital currencies fall under the purview of many countries’ laws because they are used in physical transactions, giving governments purview over their use. Because governments can regulate transactions, the type of currency is irrelevant. Governments can participate in the Bitcoin economy, and as participants they can watch transactions with their own currencies to some extent. A government also has the power to set the rate at which a currency trades. If the Pound is worth zero Bitcoins according to the government, they lose part of their relative value. Exchanges into the Pound would be difficult and relatively expensive if restricted as such.
Wallace, Benjamin. “The rise and fall of Bitcoin.” Wired Magazine.[Online]. Available (2011).
Winklevoss, Cameron. “What May Have Happened At Mt.Gox.” Winklevoss Capital. N.p., 14 Mar. 2014. Web. 17 Mar. 2014.
Use technical analysis mainly graphs and tables to show the trend and growth of bitcoin:
This is the data showing the trend of bitcoin among the people around the globe. It in turn favors the growth .A decentralized peer-to-peer payment system such as Bitcoin has the potential to transform the world’s economy, and as more people start to use it, it begins to have significantly more power.