In: Statistics and Probability
POISSON PROBABILITY DISTRIBUTION
Airline passengers arrive randomly and independently at the
passenger check-in counter. The average arrival rate is 10
passengers per minute.
to. Calculate the probability that no passenger will arrive within one minute.
μ = 10 in 1 minute
x = 0 in 1 minute
b. Find the probability that three or fewer passengers will arrive within one minute.
μ = 10 in 1 minute
x ≤ 3 in 1 minute >>> P (x = 0) + P (x = 1) + P (x = 2) +
P (x = 3)
c. That no passenger arrives within 15 seconds.
μ = 2.5 in 15 seconds
x = 0 in 15 seconds
Answer:-
Given That:-
Airline passengers arrive randomly and independently at the passenger check-in counter. The average arrival rate is 10 passengers per minute.
Let X denote the arrival time passengers such that X ~ poission (10)
i.e, Arival rate is 10 per minute
So,
(a). Calculate the probability that no passenger will arrive within one minute.
μ = 10 in 1 minute
x = 0 in 1 minute
We need to find P[No passenger within 1 minute] = P[X = 0]
P(X = 0) = 0.000045
(b). Find the probability that three or fewer passengers will arrive within one minute.
μ = 10 in 1 minute
x ≤ 3 in 1 minute >>> P (x = 0) + P (x = 1) + P (x = 2) + P (x = 3)
We need to find P[3 or less passengers within 1 minute] =
Now,
P(X = 0) = 0.000045 From part (a)
= 0.00045
= 0.00227
= 0.007567
= 0.000045 + 0.00045 + 0.00227 + 0.007567
= 0.010332
(c). That no passenger arrives within 15 seconds.
μ = 2.5 in 15 seconds
x = 0 in 15 seconds
We need to find P(no passenger with 15 seconds)
Arrival rate for 60 seconds = 10
So,
Arrival rate for 15 seconds = 10/60 * 15 = 2.5
= exp(-2.5)
P(X = 0) = 0.082085