In: Statistics and Probability
Airline passengers arrive randomly and independently at the passenger-screening facility at a major international airport. The mean arrival rate is 11 passengers per minute. Compute the probability of no arrivals in a one-minute period (to 6 decimals). Compute the probability that three or fewer passengers arrive in a one-minute period (to 4 decimals). Compute the probability of no arrivals in a 15-second period (to 4 decimals). Compute the probability of at least one arrival in a 15-second period (to 4 decimals).
Solution:-
The mean arrival rate is 11 passengers per minute = μ = 11
a) The probability of no arrivals in a one-minute period is 0.00000.
x = 0
By applying poisons distribution:-
P(x; μ) = (e-μ) (μx) / x!
P(x = 0) = 0.00000
b) The probability that three or fewer passengers arrive in a one-minute period is 0.00492.
x = 3
By applying poisons distribution:-
P(x; μ) = (e-μ) (μx) / x!
P(x < 3) = 0.00492.
c) The probability of no arrivals in a 15-second period is 0.06393.
The mean arrival rate for 15 seconds = μ = 11/4 = 2.75
By applying poisons distribution:-
P(x; μ) = (e-μ) (μx) / x!
P(x = 0) = 0.06393
d) The probability of at least one arrival in a 15-second period is 0.9361.
The mean arrival rate for 15 seconds = μ = 11/4 = 2.75
By applying poisons distribution:-
P(x; μ) = (e-μ) (μx) / x!
P(x > 1) = 0.9361