In: Finance
A company has just paid a dividend of $ 2 per share, D0=$ 2 . It is estimated that the company's dividend will grow at a rate of 18 % percent per year for the next 2 years, then the dividend will grow at a constant rate of 7 % thereafter. The company's stock has a beta equal to 1.4, the risk-free rate is 4.5 percent, and the market risk premium is 4 percent. What is your estimate of the stock's current price? Round your answer to two decimal places.
Solution: | ||
The stock's current price is $83.74 | ||
Working Notes: | ||
The stock's current price | ||
= D1/(1+r) + D2/(1+r)^2 + P2/(1+r)^2 | ||
We calculate required rate of return using CAPM | ||
risk free rate rf = 4.5% | ||
Market risk premium (rm-rf) = 4% | ||
Beta B = 1.4 | ||
r= required rate of return= ?? | ||
r = rf + (rm-rf) x B | ||
r = 4.5% + 4% x 1.4 | ||
r = 4.5% + 5.6% | ||
r = 10.1% | ||
D1 = dividend in year 1 = D0 x (1 + g) = $2 x (1 + 0.18) =2.36 | ||
D2 = dividend in year 2 = D1 x (1 + g) = $2.36 x (1 + 0.18) =2.7848 | ||
D3 = dividend in year 3 = D2 x (1 + g) = $2.7848x (1 + 0.07) =2.979736 | ||
calculation of terminal value at the end of 2nd year the price at end of year 2 is P2 | ||
Using Gordon constant growth model : | ||
P2 = D3 / (r - constant growth rate), | ||
P2= ?? | ||
g= constant growth rate=7% | ||
D3=2.979736 | ||
r= required rate of return= 10.1% | ||
P2 = D3 / (r - constant growth rate), | ||
P2 = 2.979736 / (10.1% - 7%), | ||
P2 = 96.12051613 | ||
Now | The stock's current price | |
= D1/(1+r) + D2/(1+r)^2 + P2/(1+r)^2 | ||
=2.36/(1+10.1%) + 2.7848/(1+10.1%)^2 + 96.12051613/(1+10.1%)^2 | ||
=83.73502095 | ||
=$83.74 | ||
Please feel free to ask if anything about above solution in comment section of the question. |