Question

In: Economics

Reply to this Discussion Post : W.H. Phillips studied inflation and unemployment during the late 1800’s...

Reply to this Discussion Post :

W.H. Phillips studied inflation and unemployment during the late 1800’s and early 1900’s. He discovered an inverse relationship between the two. What was found was when unemployment was high, wages increased slowly; when unemployment was low, wages rose rapidly(Econlib). Therefore, the lower the unemployment rate is, the tighter the labor markets are. Which causes businesses to raise wages in order to find workers during scarce labor The Phillips curve displays the relationship between unemployment and wage habits during business cycles. This allows economists to estimate the rate of wage inflation that would exist if unemployment lasted for a certain amount of time.
What is the importance of the expectations between inflation and unemployment? The faster workers’ expectations of price inflation adapt to changes in the actual rate of inflation, the more quickly unemployment will return to the natural rate. Which in turn causes the government to be less successful in reducing unemployment through monetary and fiscal policies.
Is the Phillips curve correct? Many famous economists, mainly monetarists such as Edmund Phelps and Milton Friedman want to depict the Phillips theory. The argument is that there is no stable trade-off between unemployment and inflation(Economics Help). That demand policy doesn’t reduce unemployment in the long term.
Overall, the Phillips curve is useful for capturing forecasting information on inflation. However, it may not be the most accurate framework and it may have some faults. In today's economy the Phillips curve may not be as complex to capture all the intricacies in today's complex environment. However, the Phillips curve forecast does outperform some of the other complicated models.



Solutions

Expert Solution

               The theory of Phillips Curve states that there exist an inverse and stable relationship between inflation and unemployment. In detail, In order to ensure economic growth the government engages in expansionary fiscal and monetary policy which induces businesses and industries boost up production of goods and services to meet the demand provoked by the government via public spending(such as incentives, subsidies, public welfare schemes) and for which more amount of laborers will be required that in-turn reduces the rate of unemployment and since people get employed and earn, a majority of population comes under the consumer circle or the demand wave which gives rise to inflation that is rise in price caused due to increased demand.

It is highly importance to draw a line between inflation and unemployment because in short run a lower level of unemployment can be achieved by way of higher inflation and thereby in the long-run the economy will stabilize and thus the unemployment level to return to a natural rate due to saturated market at a higher level of inflation. As market gets saturated after a certain level, wage rate falls with a consequent effect on unemployment. In addition, the government’s success rate in reducing unemployment through fiscal and monetary policy tends to become ineffective.

As a response to the question of whether the Phillips curve is correct, in this era of information age economies are determined by a various economic indicators and inflation and unemployment can be balanced not only with fiscal and monetary policies but with various other practices such as technology, international trade and imprint of local workforce in the global economy. It is also true that Phillips curve forecast outperform other models with regard to the level of complexities as Phillips curve states that economies keep on changing their fiscal and monetary policy to adjust unemployment and inflation rather maintain low level of inflation with a mild inflation which is absolutely healthy for an economy to progress.


Related Solutions

Suppose that the tradeoff between unemployment and inflation is determined by the Phillips curve: ??=???????(???????). In...
Suppose that the tradeoff between unemployment and inflation is determined by the Phillips curve: ??=???????(???????). In addition, suppose that the country involves two political parties, the Left and the Right. Suppose that the Left party always follows a policy of high money growth and the Right party always follows a policy of low money growth. What “political business cycle” pattern of inflation and unemployment would you predict under the following conditions? 1) Every four years, one of the parties takes...
If a Phillips curve shows that unemployment is high and inflation is low in the economy,...
If a Phillips curve shows that unemployment is high and inflation is low in the economy, then that economy: a) is producing at a point where output is less than potential GDP. B) is producing at its potential GDP. C) is producing at a point where output is more than potential GDP. D) is producing at its equilibrium point. Question 21 pts A fiscal policy that increases government spending or cuts taxes is most appropriate when the economy is in:...
M11. Discussion: Avoiding Plagiarism in Reports 11 unread reply.11 reply. Topic In your initial discussion post,...
M11. Discussion: Avoiding Plagiarism in Reports 11 unread reply.11 reply. Topic In your initial discussion post, respond with how you would document sources in a business report. M11. Discussion: Avoiding Plagiarism in Reports Chapter 11, Section 11-6b, Critical Thinking: Exercise 4 p. 426
Please reply to a discussion post below from a classmate Please provide reference(s) if any. Thank...
Please reply to a discussion post below from a classmate Please provide reference(s) if any. Thank you in advance! Hello class, Out of the software and hardware mentioned above, I will be mainly using Microsoft's Excel. Although the other technologies mentioned might be useful/helpful, I feel like Excel can offer more than they do. The disadvantage about Excel is learning how to use it in its entirety. Excel is a vast program with many features that require your time and...
M10. Discussion: Persuade Your Classmates 11 unread reply.11 reply. Topic In your initial discussion post, apply...
M10. Discussion: Persuade Your Classmates 11 unread reply.11 reply. Topic In your initial discussion post, apply the four-part AIDA strategy to create a persuasive message for your classmates that addresses the questions in the assignment. M10. Discussion: Persuade Your Classmates Chapter 10, Section 10-7e, Chat About It: Topic 5 p. 382 Note from Prof. Kunzman:
Discuss the trade-off between inflation and unemployment using Phillips curves.
Discuss the trade-off between inflation and unemployment using Phillips curves.
Discuss the trade-off between inflation and unemployment using Phillips curves.
Discuss the trade-off between inflation and unemployment using Phillips curves.
7. To move to a point on the Phillips curve where inflation is lower, A. unemployment...
7. To move to a point on the Phillips curve where inflation is lower, A. unemployment must fall. B. the Fed could increase the money supply. C. the government could decrease taxes. D. All of the above E. None of the above are correct. which of the following statements is (are) correct? (x) During the early 1960s, inflation was about 1 to 3 percent in the United States, compared to about 4 to 6 percent in the late 1960s and...
Reply to the following Discussion Question with a substantive post - one that demonstrates that you...
Reply to the following Discussion Question with a substantive post - one that demonstrates that you understand the mathematical concepts and provides an explanation rather than just making a simple statement about the topic. How does a researcher decide whether to choose a 1%, 5%, or 10% level of significance for a hypothesis test that they are running? Explain by giving examples.
Reply to the following Discussion Question with a substantive post - one that demonstrates that you...
Reply to the following Discussion Question with a substantive post - one that demonstrates that you understand the mathematical concepts and provides an explanation rather than just making a simple statement about the topic. It is natural to interpret a 95% confidence interval as an interval with a 95% probability of containing the population mean. However, this is an incorrect interpretation. Explain why this is wrong using a real-life example showing several potential confidence intervals.
ADVERTISEMENT
ADVERTISEMENT
ADVERTISEMENT