Question

In: Statistics and Probability

Changes in Education Attainment: USE SOFTWARE - According to the U.S. Census Bureau, the distribution of...

Changes in Education Attainment: USE SOFTWARE - According to the U.S. Census Bureau, the distribution of Highest Education Attainment in U.S. adults aged 25 - 34 in the year 2005 is given in the table below.

Census: Highest Education Attainment - 2005

  No     High School     Associate's     Bachelor's     Graduate or  
  Diploma     Diploma     Degree     Degree     Professional Degree  
Percent     14%   48%   8%   22%   8%


In a survey of 4000 adults aged 25 - 34 in the year 2013, the counts for these levels of educational attainment are given in the table below.

Survey (n = 4000): Highest Education Attainment - 2013

  No     High School     Associate's     Bachelor's     Graduate or  
  Diploma     Diploma     Degree     Degree     Professional Degree  
Count     535     1927     336     886     316  


The Test: Test whether or not the distribution of education attainment has changed from 2005 to 2013. Conduct this test at the 0.05 significance level.

(a) What is the null hypothesis for this test?

H0: p1 = p2 = p3 = p4 = p5 = 1/5

H0: The distribution in 2013 is different from that in 2005.     

H0: p1 = 0.14, p2 = 0.48, p3 = 0.08, p4 = 0.22, and p5 = 0.08.

H0: The probabilities are not all equal to 1/5.

(b) The table below is used to calculate the test statistic. Complete the missing cells.
Round your answers to the same number of decimal places as other entries for that column.

Highest   Observed Assumed   Expected
i Education Frequency (Oi) Probability (pi) Frequency Ei
(OiEi)2
Ei
1 No Diploma 535 0.14 560
2 Diploma 1927 0.48 0.026
3 Associate's 336 320 0.800
4 Bachelor's 0.22 880 0.041
5 Grad or Prof   316 0.08 320 0.050
Σ n = 4000 χ2 =

(c) What is the value for the degrees of freedom?  


(d) What is the critical value of χ2? Use the answer found in the χ2-table or round to 3 decimal places.
tα =  

(e) What is the conclusion regarding the null hypothesis?

reject H0

fail to reject H0    


(f) Choose the appropriate concluding statement.

We have proven that the distribution of 2013 education attainment levels is the same as the distribution in 2005.

The data suggests that the distribution of 2013 education attainment levels is different from the distribution in 2005.     

There is not enough data to suggest that the distribution of 2013 education attainment levels is different from the distribution in 2005.

Solutions

Expert Solution

(a) H0: p1 = 0.14. p2 = 0.48, p 3 = 0.08, p4 = 0.22 and p5 = 0.08

___________________________________________________

(b) The complete table is as below. The missing cells are marked in yellow

Observed Expected % Expected (O-E)2 (O-E)2/E
No Diploma 535 0.14 560 625 1.116
Diploma 1927 0.48 1920 49 0.026
Associates 336 0.08 320 256 0.800
Bachelors 886 0.22 880 36 0.041
Grad or Prof 316 0.08 320 16 0.050
Total 4000.00 1.00 4000.00 982.00 2.033

= 2.033

___________________________________________________

(c) Degrees of freedom = n - 1 = 5 - 1 = 4

___________________________________________________

(d) critical = 9.488

___________________________________________________

(e) Since = 2.033 is < critical = 9.488, we fail to reject H0.

___________________________________________________

(f) Option 3: There is not enough data to suggest that the distribution of 213 education attainment levels is different from the distribution in 2005.

___________________________________________________


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