In: Statistics and Probability
According to the U.S. Census Bureau, 11% of children in the United States lived with at least one grandparent in 2009 (USA TODAY, June 30, 2011). Suppose that in a recent sample of 1570 children, 224 were found to be living with at least one grandparent. At a 5% significance level, can you conclude that the proportion of all children in the United States who currently live with at least one grandparent is higher than 11%? Use both the p-value and the critical-value approaches. Round your answers for the observed value of z and the critival value of z to two decimal places, and the p-value to four decimal places.
SOLUTION :
From given data,
According to the U.S. Census Bureau, 11% of children in the United States lived with at least one grandparent in 2009 (USA TODAY, June 30, 2011). Suppose that in a recent sample of 1570 children, 224 were found to be living with at least one grandparent. At a 5% significance level, can you conclude that the proportion of all children in the United States who currently live with at least one grandparent is higher than 11%
=
Let
= The Sample proportion of children in the US who currently live with at least 1 grandparent
= 224/1570
= 0.14267
Let
= The Population proportion of children in the US who currently live with at least 1 grandparent
= 0.11
1 - = 1 - 0.11 =0.89
The Hypothesis:
H0: = 0.11 : The proportion of all children in the US living with at least 1 grandparent is equal to 0.11.
Ha: > 0.11 : The proportion of all children in the US living with at least 1 grandparent is greater than 0.11.
This is a Right tailed Test.
The Test Statistic:
Z = ( - ) /
Z = (0.14267 - 0.11 ) /
Z = 0.03267 / 0.00789662509
Z = 4.13 ( two decimal places )
The p - Value:
The p value (Right tail) for Z = 4.13, is;
p value = 0.0000 ( four decimal places )
The Critical Value:
5% significance level
5/100 = 0.05
= 0.05
/2 = 0.05 /2 = 0.025
The critical value (Right tail)
Z /2 = +1.96
The Decision Rule:
If Z /2 > 1.96 Then Reject H0.
Also If the P value is < 0.025( ), Then Reject H0
The Decision:
Since Z observed (4.13) is > 1.96, We Reject H0.
Also since P value (0.00) is < 0.025, We Reject H0.
The Conclusion:
There is sufficient evidence at the = 0.025 level to conclude that the proportion of all children in the US who currently live with at least 1 grandparent is higher than 0.11.