In: Statistics and Probability
Probability Economic_Condition
Corporate_Bond_Fund Common_Stock_Fund
0.01 Extreme_recession -200
-999
0.09 Recession -40 -300
0.20 Stagnation 20 -50
0.35 Slow_growth 80 50
0.20 Moderate_growth 100
200
0.15 High_growth 110 350
a.Compute the expected return for the corporate bond fund and for the common stock fund.
b.Compute the standard deviation for the corporate bond fund and for the common stock fund.
c.Would you invest in the corporate bond fund or the common stock fund? Explain.
Based on the expected value, the____fund should be chosen. Since the standard deviation for the common stock fund is___that for the corporate bond fund, the common stock fund___the corporate bond fund and an investor__he risk when making a decision.
x | y | f(x,y) | x*f(x,y) | y*f(x,y) | x^2f(x,y) | y^2f(x,y) | xy*f(x,y) |
-200 | -999 | 0.01 | -2 | -9.99 | 400 | 9980.01 | 1998 |
-40 | -300 | 0.09 | -3.6 | -27 | 144 | 8100 | 1080 |
20 | -50 | 0.2 | 4 | -10 | 80 | 500 | -200 |
80 | 50 | 0.35 | 28 | 17.5 | 2240 | 875 | 1400 |
100 | 200 | 0.2 | 20 | 40 | 2000 | 8000 | 4000 |
110 | 350 | 0.15 | 16.5 | 52.5 | 1815 | 18375 | 5775 |
Total | 1 | 62.9 | 63.01 | 6679 | 45830.01 | 14053 | |
E(X)=ΣxP(x,y)= | 62.9 | ||||||
E(X2)=Σx2P(x,y)= | 6679 | ||||||
E(Y)=ΣyP(x,y)= | 63.01 | ||||||
E(Y2)=Σy2P(x,y)= | 45830.01 | ||||||
Var(X)=E(X2)-(E(X))2= | 2722.59 | ||||||
Var(Y)=E(Y2)-(E(Y))2= | 41859.75 |
a) expected return for the corporate bond fund =62.9
expected return for the common stock fund =63.01
b) standard deviation for the corporate bond fund =52.1784
standard deviation for the common stock fund =204.5966
c)
Based on the expected value, the common stock fund should be chosen. Since the standard deviation for the common stock fund is higher then that for the corporate bond fund, the common stock fund is riskier than _the corporate bond fund and an investor lower the risk when making a decision.