In: Finance
For the most recent year, GHI Company paid an annual dividend of $1.00. The company expects dividends to grow by 15% for the next two years, followed by 4 years of growth at 10% per year, before dropping to a perpetual growth rate of 4% starting in year 7. The required return is 12%.
What is the intrinsic value per share of GHI stock?
Intrinsic value of stock is $ 18.87
Working:
| As per dividend discount model, value of stock is the present value of dividend. | ||||||
| Step-1:Present value of dividend of next 6 years | ||||||
| Year | Dividend | Discount factor | Present value | |||
| a | b | c=1.12^-a | d=b*c | |||
| 1 | $ 1.15 | 0.892857 | $ 1.03 | |||
| 2 | $ 1.32 | 0.797194 | $ 1.05 | |||
| 3 | $ 1.45 | 0.71178 | $ 1.04 | |||
| 4 | $ 1.60 | 0.635518 | $ 1.02 | |||
| 5 | $ 1.76 | 0.567427 | $ 1.00 | |||
| 6 | $ 1.94 | 0.506631 | $ 0.98 | |||
| Total | $ 6.11 | |||||
| Working: | ||||||
| Dividend of year : | ||||||
| 1 | $ 1.00 | x | 1.15 | = | $ 1.15 | |
| 2 | $ 1.15 | x | 1.15 | = | $ 1.32 | |
| 3 | $ 1.32 | x | 1.10 | = | $ 1.45 | |
| 4 | $ 1.45 | x | 1.10 | = | $ 1.60 | |
| 5 | $ 1.60 | x | 1.10 | = | $ 1.76 | |
| 6 | $ 1.76 | x | 1.10 | = | $ 1.94 | |
| Step-2:Present value of dividend after year 6 | ||||||
| Present value | = | D6*(1+g)/(Ke-g)*DF6 | Where, | |||
| = | $ 12.75 | D6 | $ 1.94 | |||
| g | 4% | |||||
| Ke | 12% | |||||
| DF6 | 0.506631 | |||||
| Step-3:Value of stock | ||||||
| Value of stock | = | Present value of dividends | ||||
| = | $ 6.11 | + | $ 12.75 | |||
| = | $ 18.87 | |||||