Question
In: Statistics and Probability
One percent of the people in Westeros belong to the secret Brotherhood society. The Chief Interrogator...
One percent of the people in Westeros belong to the secret
Brotherhood society. The
Chief Interrogator of Westeros ("the tickler") has a 95% chance of
ruling that an
interrogated person belongs to the Brotherhood, when indeed this
person is one of
its members. For people who are not members, \the tickler" deems
them trustworthy
(i.e., not a member of the Brotherhood) with probability 0.4.
Suppose "the tickler"
interrogates a random person from Westeros and finds them guilty of
belonging to
the Brotherhood. What is the probability that this person indeed
belongs to the
Brotherhood?
Solutions
orchestra answered 2 years agoRelated Solutions
One percent of the people in Westeros belong to the secret Brotherhood society. The Chief Interrogator...
One percent of the people in Westeros belong to the secret
Brotherhood society. The Chief Interrogator of Westeros (“the
tickler”) has a 95% chance of ruling that an interrogated person
belongs to the Brotherhood, when indeed this person is one of its
members. For people who are not members, “the tickler” deems them
trustworthy (i.e., not a member of the Brotherhood) with
probability 0.4. Suppose “the tickler” interrogates a random person
from Westeros and finds them guilty of belonging to...
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