In: Statistics and Probability
(FIXED) .Three symmetrical and homogeneous dice are tossed simultaneously. Find the probability of event A: the total number of dots appears at 10, given event B is at least one dice has upper face 3 dots. (the result of lesson is p(A|B) = p(AB)/p(B) = (15/6^3)/(91/6^3))
P(A | B) = P(A and B) / P(B)
P(A and B) = Probability the total number of dots appears at 10 and at least one dice has upper face 3 dots
= Probability that total number of dots appears at 7 for 2 dices and probability that any of three dices have 3
Number of possible combinations of numbers = (1, 3, 6) , (2, 3, 5) , (3, 3, 4)
For (1, 3, 6), number of possible permutations in 3 dices = 3! = 6
For (2, 3, 5), number of possible permutations in 3 dices = 3! = 6
For (3, 3, 4), number of possible permutations in 3 dices (2 unique numbers) = 3P2 = 3
Total possible combinations = 6 + 6 + 3 = 15
Probability that total number of dots appears at 7 for 2 dices and probability that any of three dices have 3= 15 / 6^3
Probability that at least one dice has upper face 3 dots = 1 - Probability that no dice has upper face 3 dots
= 1 - (5/6) * (5/6) * (5/6) = 1 - 125 / 216
= (216 - 125) / 216 = 91/6^3
P(A | B) = P(A and B) / P(B) = 15 / 6^3 / 91/6^3
= 15/91