In: Finance
Suppose that a firm’s recent earnings per share and dividend per share are $2.75 and $1.80, respectively. Both are expected to grow at 10 percent. However, the firm’s current P/E ratio of 19 seems high for this growth rate. The P/E ratio is expected to fall to 15 within five years.
Compute the dividends over the next five years. (Do not round intermediate calculations. Round your answers to 3 decimal places.)
Compute the value of this stock price in five years. (Do not round intermediate calculations. Round your answer to 2 decimal places.)
Calculate the present value of these cash flows using a 12 percent discount rate. (Do not round intermediate calculations. Round your answer to 2 decimal places.)
(a)-Dividend over the next 5 years
Year |
Dividend per share |
First year [$1.80 x 110%] |
$1.980 |
Second year [$1.980 x 110%] |
$2.178 |
Third year [$2.178 x 110%] |
$2.396 |
Fourth year [$2.396 x 110%] |
$2.635 |
Fifth year [$2.635 x 110%] |
$2.899 |
(b)-Value of the Stock in 5 Years
Recent EPS = $2.75 per share
Growth Rate (g) = 10% per year
EPS after 5 years = EPS x (1 + g) n
= $2.75 x (1 + 0.10) 5
= $2.75 x 1.61051
= $4.4289 per share
P/E ratio after 5 years = 15 Times
The Value of the stock after 5 years = EPS x P/E Ratio
= $4.4289 x 15 Times
= $66.43 per share
“The value of this stock in five years = $66.43”
(c)-The Present Value of the Cash flows using 12% Discount Rate
As per Dividend Discount Model, the Value of the Stock is the aggregate of the Present Value of the future dividend payments and the present value the stock price for the year 5
Year |
Cash flow ($) |
Present Value Factor at 10% |
Stock price ($) |
1 |
1.980 |
0.89286 |
1.77 |
2 |
2.178 |
0.79719 |
1.74 |
3 |
2.396 |
0.71178 |
1.71 |
4 |
2.635 |
0.63552 |
1.67 |
5 |
2.899 |
0.56743 |
1.64 |
5 |
66.43 |
0.56743 |
37.70 |
TOTAL |
46.23 |
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The Present Value of the Cash flows using 12% Discount Rate = $46.23”
NOTE
The Formula for calculating the Present Value Factor is [1/(1 + r)n], Where “r” is the Discount/Interest Rate and “n” is the number of years.