In: Statistics and Probability
A random sample of n1=19 securities in Economy A produced mean returns of x̄ 1=5.5% with s1=2.1% while another random sample of n2=18 securities in Economy B produced mean returns of x̄ 2=4.5% with s2=1.9%. At α =0.05, can we infer that the returns differ significantly between the two economies?
a. Calculate the test statistic. t= 0.000 Round to three decimal places if necessary
b. Determine the critical value(s) for the hypothesis test. + Round to three decimal places if necessary
c. Conclude whether to reject the null hypothesis or not based on the test statistic.
Reject
Fail to Reject
Solution:
Given:
securities in Economy A:
n1=19
x̄ 1=5.5%
s1=2.1%
securities in Economy B :
n2=18
x̄ 2=4.5%
s2=1.9%
α =0.05
We have to test if we can infer that the returns differ significantly between the two economies.
Thus hypothesis are:
Part a. Calculate the test statistic.
where
thus
Part b) Determine the critical value(s) for the hypothesis test.
df= n1 + n2 - 2
df = 19 +18 - 2
df = 35
two tail area = level of significance =α =0.05
Since df = 35 is not listed in t table, we look for its previous df = 30
thus t critical values = ( -2.042 , 2.042 )
If exact values needed then use Excel command:
=T.INV.2T(alpha , df)
=T.INV.2T(0.05,35)
=2.030
thus t critical values : ( -2.030, 2.030)
Part c) Conclude whether to reject the null hypothesis or not based on the test statistic.
Decision Rule:
Reject null hypothesis H0, if absolute t test statistic value > t critical value = 2.030, otherwise we fail to reject H0.
Since absolute t test statistic value = t = 1.516 < t critical value = 2.030, we fail to reject H0.
Thus correct answer is:
Fail to Reject