In: Statistics and Probability
A pizza company has asked you for your assistance in developing a model that predicts the demand for the new snack pizza named Pizza1. This product competes in a market with another brand that is named B2 for identification. At present, the products are sold by three major distribution chains identified as 1, 2, and 3. These three chains have different market sizes, and, thus, sales for each distributor are likely to be different. The accompanying data table contains randomly sampled weekly observations from the three distribution chains. Use multiple regression to develop a model that predicts the quantity of Pizza1 sold per week. The model should contain only important predictor variables.
Sales of Pizza1 Price of Pizza1
Distributor Price of B2
6,543 0.66 1 0.82
10,125 0.62 1 0.80
10,609 0.62 1 0.77
8,509 0.62 1 0.66
10,655 0.63 1 0.65
6,773 0.69 1 0.63
18,888 0.63 1 0.65
11,761 0.65 1 0.78
4,614 0.77 1 0.62
13,562 0.88 2 0.80
14,555 0.84 2 0.93
13,165 0.87 2 0.75
13,034 0.88 2 0.74
12,921 0.92 2 0.79
11,026 0.93 2 0.76
14,448 0.84 2 0.78
511 0.67 3 0.65
573 0.66 3 0.65
610 0.67 3 0.65
461 0.66 3 0.57
498 0.66 3 0.57
501 0.65 3 0.59
507 0.67 3 0.65
Use technology to estimate a model with the variables selected above. Give the equation for the regression line.
y^= (.....) + (....)(PriceofPizza1) + (....)(D2) + (....)(D3)
Using the regression function from the data analysis package in the MS-Excel,
Following summary output is obtained :
SUMMARY OUTPUT | ||||||||
Regression Statistics | ||||||||
Multiple R | 0.790760728 | |||||||
R Square | 0.62530253 | |||||||
Adjusted R Square | 0.566139771 | |||||||
Standard Error | 3921.483481 | |||||||
Observations | 23 | |||||||
ANOVA | ||||||||
df | SS | MS | F | Significance F | ||||
Regression | 3 | 487600121.4 | 1.63E+08 | 10.56919159 | 0.000261709 | |||
Residual | 19 | 292182621.2 | 15378033 | |||||
Total | 22 | 779782742.6 | ||||||
Coefficients | Standard Error | t Stat | P-value | Lower 95% | Upper 95% | Lower 95.0% | Upper 95.0% | |
Intercept | -12032.94712 | 7887.137817 | -1.52564 | 0.143573356 | -28540.9163 | 4475.022049 | -28540.9163 | 4475.022049 |
Prize of Pizza1 | 25383.35103 | 9272.191508 | 2.737578 | 0.013082379 | 5976.431164 | 44790.27089 | 5976.431164 | 44790.27089 |
Distributor | -3626.061081 | 1125.726048 | -3.22109 | 0.004496415 | -5982.232779 | -1269.889384 | -5982.232779 | -1269.889384 |
Price of B2 | 11531.6939 | 11639.34231 | 0.990751 | 0.334257544 | -12829.72953 | 35893.11732 | -12829.72953 | 35893.11732 |
In general, the multiple linear regression equation is given as : = b0 + b1 * x1 + b2 * x2 + b3 * x3
With respect to the above table, b0 = -12032.94712 , b1 = 25383.35103 , b2 = -3626.061081 and
b3 = 11531.6939.
And x1 repesents the " Prize of Pizza1 ", x2 repesents the " Distributor " and the
x3 repesents the " Price of B2 "
Therefore, the multiple linear regression equation is :
= -12032.94712 + 25383.35103* x1 - 3626.061081 * x2 + 11531.6939* x3