In: Economics
Owners of a motel chain are considering a new investment. The cost of the 125-unit motel (excluding furnishings) is $10 million and the furnishings, which cost $2 million must be replaced every five years (with no salvage value). The annual O&M costs are $200,000 per year, the average daily room rate is $110/day (increasing by 3% per year), and the buildings will be sold in 15 years for 20% of the original building cost. Ignoring taxes, if the motel operates 365 days/year, what is the required occupancy rate if the motel chain needs to make a return of 10% per year on its investment (use end-of-year convention)?
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The required occupancy is 34%
Time | Capital | Salvage Value | O&M (goes up 3% every year) | Annual Revenue at 100% occupancy = 110 x 125 x 365 x 1.03^(t-1) | Required occupancy | Annual Revenue at required occupancy = 110 x 125 x 365 x 1.03^(t-1) | Net cash flow | PV @10% = Net CF / (1.1^t) |
0 | -12000000 | -12000000 | -12000000 | |||||
1 | -200000 | 5018750 | 34% | 1710905.149 | 1510905.149 | 1373550 | ||
2 | -206000 | 5169312.5 | 34% | 1762232.303 | 1556232.303 | 1286142 | ||
3 | -212180 | 5324391.875 | 34% | 1815099.272 | 1602919.272 | 1204297 | ||
4 | -218545 | 5484123.631 | 34% | 1869552.25 | 1651006.85 | 1127660 | ||
5 | -2000000 | -225102 | 5648647.34 | 34% | 1925638.818 | -299462.944 | -185942.9 | |
6 | -231855 | 5818106.76 | 34% | 1983407.983 | 1751553.168 | 988706.1 | ||
7 | -238810 | 5992649.963 | 34% | 2042910.222 | 1804099.763 | 925788.4 | ||
8 | -245975 | 6172429.462 | 34% | 2104197.529 | 1858222.756 | 866874.6 | ||
9 | -253354 | 6357602.346 | 34% | 2167323.455 | 1913969.438 | 811709.9 | ||
10 | -2000000 | -260955 | 6548330.416 | 34% | 2232343.158 | -28611.47862 | -11030.96 | |
11 | -268783 | 6744780.329 | 34% | 2299313.453 | 2030530.177 | 711688.4 | ||
12 | -276847 | 6947123.739 | 34% | 2368292.856 | 2091446.082 | 666399.2 | ||
13 | -285152 | 7155537.451 | 34% | 2439341.642 | 2154189.465 | 623992 | ||
14 | -293707 | 7370203.574 | 34% | 2512521.891 | 2218815.149 | 584283.4 | ||
15 | 2000000 | -302518 | 7591309.682 | 34% | 2587897.548 | 4285379.603 | 1025886 | |
Total | 3.312777 |