Question

In: Economics

Owners of a motel chain are considering a new investment. The cost of the 125-unit motel...

Owners of a motel chain are considering a new investment. The cost of the 125-unit motel (excluding furnishings) is $10 million and the furnishings, which cost $2 million must be replaced every five years (with no salvage value). The annual O&M costs are $200,000 per year, the average daily room rate is $110/day (increasing by 3% per year), and the buildings will be sold in 15 years for 20% of the original building cost. Ignoring taxes, if the motel operates 365 days/year, what is the required occupancy rate if the motel chain needs to make a return of 10% per year on its investment (use end-of-year convention)?

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Solutions

Expert Solution

The required occupancy is 34%

Time Capital Salvage Value O&M (goes up 3% every year) Annual Revenue at 100% occupancy = 110 x 125 x 365 x 1.03^(t-1) Required occupancy Annual Revenue at required occupancy = 110 x 125 x 365 x 1.03^(t-1) Net cash flow PV @10% = Net CF / (1.1^t)
0 -12000000 -12000000 -12000000
1 -200000 5018750 34% 1710905.149 1510905.149 1373550
2 -206000 5169312.5 34% 1762232.303 1556232.303 1286142
3 -212180 5324391.875 34% 1815099.272 1602919.272 1204297
4 -218545 5484123.631 34% 1869552.25 1651006.85 1127660
5 -2000000 -225102 5648647.34 34% 1925638.818 -299462.944 -185942.9
6 -231855 5818106.76 34% 1983407.983 1751553.168 988706.1
7 -238810 5992649.963 34% 2042910.222 1804099.763 925788.4
8 -245975 6172429.462 34% 2104197.529 1858222.756 866874.6
9 -253354 6357602.346 34% 2167323.455 1913969.438 811709.9
10 -2000000 -260955 6548330.416 34% 2232343.158 -28611.47862 -11030.96
11 -268783 6744780.329 34% 2299313.453 2030530.177 711688.4
12 -276847 6947123.739 34% 2368292.856 2091446.082 666399.2
13 -285152 7155537.451 34% 2439341.642 2154189.465 623992
14 -293707 7370203.574 34% 2512521.891 2218815.149 584283.4
15 2000000 -302518 7591309.682 34% 2587897.548 4285379.603 1025886
Total 3.312777

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