In: Statistics and Probability
Use the sample data and confidence level given below to complete parts (a) through (d). A research institute poll asked respondents if they felt vulnerable to identity theft. In the poll, n equals n=1065 and x equals 548 who said "yes." Use a 95 confidence level.
a) Find the best point estimate of the population proportion p. Round to three decimal places as needed.)
b) Identify the value of the margin of error E. E = (Round to three decimal places as needed.)
c) Construct the confidence interval < p <. (Round to three decimal places as needed.)
d) Write a statement that correctly interprets the confidence interval. Choose the correct answer below.
A.One has 9999% confidence that the sample proportion is equal to the population proportion.
B.There is a 9999% chance that the true value of the population proportion will fall between the lower bound and the upper bound.
C.One has 9999% confidence that the interval from the lower bound to the upper bound actually does contain the true value of the population proportion.Your answer is correct.
D. 9999% of sample proportions will fall between the lower bound and the upper bound.
Solution :
Given that,
n = 1065
x = 548
Point estimate = sample proportion = = x / n = 548 / 1065 = 0.515
1 - = 1 - 0.515 = 0.485
At 99% confidence level the z is ,
= 1 - 99% = 1 - 0.99 = 0.01
/ 2 = 0.01 / 2 = 0.005
Z/2 = Z0.005 = 2.576
Margin of error = E = Z / 2 * (( * (1 - )) / n)
= 2.576 * (((0.515 * 0.485) / 1065)
= 0.030
A 99% confidence interval for population proportion p is ,
- E < p < + E
0.515 - 0.030 < p < 0.515 - 0.030
0.485 < p < 0.545
B.There is a 99% chance that the true value of the population proportion will fall between the lower bound and the upper bound.