Question

In: Statistics and Probability

1. What is the purpose of using a confidence interval? In other words, what does a...

1. What is the purpose of using a confidence interval? In other words, what does a confidence interval estimate?

2. Why is there a level of confidence associated with a confidence interval? In other words, why isn't a confidence interval 100% accurate?

Solutions

Expert Solution

Part 1

Imagine that you want to know a characteristic of a population, for example, the proportion of people in the country who are in favor of a candidate C. We will call this characteristic "parameter" of the population. For obvious reasons, it is very difficult and expensive to know the opinion of all people in the population.
A possible solution is to take a sample of the population that we consider "representative" and calculate the proportion of people in favor of the candidate in that sample. We will call this value "point estimator of the parameter".
If the sample is a good representation of the population, then the estimator will be very close to the parameter, but we cannot know exactly how good the estimator is because we do not know how good the sample is. To solve this, instead of giving a point gauge, an estimator is calculated per interval and thus be able to give a measure of reliability of being "close" to the population parameter.
In summary, what the interval estimator does is give a confidence of X% of containing the true parameter. This means that: if 100 researchers each take a sample from the population and calculate X% confidence intervals, using the same methods, then the number of intervals containing the population parameter is expected to be X.
NOTE: it is not correct to say that the parameter is or falls within the confidence interval, because the parameter is a fixed value, or that the limits of the interval vary depending on the sample and the confidence....

Part 2

As mentioned before, the confidence intervals depend on how representative the sample taken from the population is.
If the sample is 100% representative, then we would obtain 100% confidence intervals regardless of their amplitude, in fact, it would not be necessary to calculate confidence intervals, with the point estimator it would be enough to know the true population parameter.

The problem is that it is very difficult, or impossible, to know if a sample is an exact representation of the population, it is for this reason that the interval estimation is associated with a confidence level.

This tells us that to obtain 100% confidence intervals we have two options:
1) Study the entire population, which is not always possible, and if it were, it would not make sense to calculate a confidence interval.
2) Give an interval large enough to include all possible theoretical values ​​that the parameter can take, but this would be useless. It is like saying that we are 100% sure that when rolling a die the top face shows a number between 1 and 6, which is obvious.


Related Solutions

What is the benefit of using a confidence interval? What exactly does a confidence interval do...
What is the benefit of using a confidence interval? What exactly does a confidence interval do that a P value does not? I need this to be clear because I am so confused.
What is an 80% confidence interval? What does it mean for a confidence interval to be...
What is an 80% confidence interval? What does it mean for a confidence interval to be ‘equal tailed?’ What are the steps for obtaining a confidence interval?
What does a 95% confidence interval mean?
What does a 95% confidence interval mean?
Consider the phrase "confidence interval" - what does the word "confidence" imply and what is the...
Consider the phrase "confidence interval" - what does the word "confidence" imply and what is the information provided by the word "interval"?
what does an asterik mean in a confidence interval mean for statistics
what does an asterik mean in a confidence interval mean for statistics
What does a sampling distribution have to do with a confidence interval?
What does a sampling distribution have to do with a confidence interval?
Confidence Interval 1 All of the questions with the header "Confidence Interval 1" are based on...
Confidence Interval 1 All of the questions with the header "Confidence Interval 1" are based on the data in this problem. A researcher at the Annenberg School of Communication is interested in studying the use of smartphones among young adults. She wants to know the average amount of time that college students in the United States hold a smartphone in their hand each day. The researcher obtains data for one day from a random sample of 25 college students (who...
1. Explain with words and steps how to create a confidence interval for estimating the true...
1. Explain with words and steps how to create a confidence interval for estimating the true value of the population mean of the number of cars owned by Beverly Hills households. Don't forget to write an interpretation of the confidence interval. The sample results were: a. Sample size of 100 people. a. Sample average was 5.2. a. Sample standard deviation was 2.8.   
Q6 What is necessary for an interval estimate to be a confidence interval? [1 Mark] DO...
Q6 What is necessary for an interval estimate to be a confidence interval? [1 Mark] DO NOT WRITE THE ANSWER - USE WORD FORMAT. NO PLAGIARISM PLEASE
CONFIDENCE INTERVAL PROJECT – Day 1 For this project, you’ll be calculating a Confidence Interval for...
CONFIDENCE INTERVAL PROJECT – Day 1 For this project, you’ll be calculating a Confidence Interval for both a Proportion and a Mean. You must first choose a theme for your project. Choose something that you are interested in and passionate about. THEME: ____________________________________ **For this entire project, we are making the population “people you know.” This will allow you to collect data from anyone! PROPORTION CONFIDENCE INTERVAL: Think about a proportion that you wish you knew about all of the...
ADVERTISEMENT
ADVERTISEMENT
ADVERTISEMENT