You are an analyst working for Goldman Sachs, and you are
trying to value the growth potential of a large, established
company, Big Industries. Big Industries has a thriving R&D
division that has consistently turned out successful products. You
estimate that, on average, the division launches two projects
every three years, so you estimate that there is a 60 % chance
that a project will be produced every year. Typically, the
investment opportunities the R&D division produces require an
initial...