In: Statistics and Probability
The Pew Internet and American Life Project reported in 2004 that “17% of current music down loaders say they are using paid services”. Consider a random sample of 400 music down loaders. Compute the probability that X equals the mean of X where X is the number of current music down loaders (You can use appropriate program). Find the mean of X. Find the probability?
Solution:
Given that,
p = 17% = 0.17
n = 400
Here, BIN (400 , 0.17)
Mean = E(X) = n * p = 400 * 0.17 = 68
we can use normal approximation to binomial to find P(X = 68)
According to normal approximation binomial,
X Normal
Mean = = n*p = 400 * 0.17 = 68
Standard deviation = = = = 7.5126559884
Now ,
P(X = Mean)
= P(X = 68)
= P[68 - 0.5 < X < 68 + 0.5]
= P[67.5 < X < 68.5]
= P(X < 68.5) - P(X < 67.5 )
= P[(X - )/ < (68.5- 68 )/7.5126559884] - P[(X - )/ < (67.5 - 68 )/7.5126559884]
= P[Z < 0.0666] - P[Z < -0.0666]
= 0.5265 - 0.4735 ..Use z table
= 0.0530