Question

In: Statistics and Probability

what is a moving average?

what is a moving average?

Solutions

Expert Solution

Moving average is one of the simplest but useful tools in the armoury of a Technical analyst. It has been considered as an important mechanical trading rule by the market participants to understand the price movements as well as for predicting the future price.

Basically, Moving Averages are lagging indicators which always lag behind the price. It smoothens the price series and corrects the major fluctuations in the price series and in that way, it can forecast the prices of stocks as well as the index. Moving Averages have a smoothening content of the price series. There are different types of Moving Averages: Simple Moving average, Exponential Moving average and MACD.

Generally, two systems of moving average have been used in the market: one compares the short term and long term moving averages and the other compares the stock price and respective moving averages. However, comparison of the stock price and respective moving averages are common in the market place. A buy signal is generated when the current price of the stock or index are above its moving average. A sell signal is generated when the current price or index are lower t han its moving average.

*) Simple Moving Average:

Market participants use simple moving average as one of the important technical Indicators in the market. It acts as a bench mark for the technical analyst to interpret market movement as well as to predict the trend. Generally, moving average is calculated by using the closing price data but the calculation can also be done by using the open, high, low price data. The lag length of the moving average is not fixed; it depends upon the market and market practitioners. Moving averages are
calculated as follows:
MA t ,n = 1/n∑j=t-n
t-1Ci
Ci is the closing price at time of t, n indicate the period of the moving average

Example:  a trader wants to calculate the SMA for stock ABC by looking at the high of day over five periods.

For the past five days, the highs of the day were

$25.40, $25.90. $26.50, $26.30 and $27.90.

The SMA, based on the highs, is $26.40 (($25.40+$25.90+$26.50+$26.30+$27.90)/5).

The past five closing price of stock ABC are $25.25, $25.50, $25.00, $24.90 and $26.80.

Therefore, the SMA is $25.49. This calculation can be extended to more periods, such as for 20, 50, 100 and 200 periods.

Hope you understood about moving average how it works and where we can use the simple moving average. If you understood then RATE POSITIVE ?.

Incase of any queries please feel free to ask in comment box. Thank you.


Related Solutions

Moving average and weighed moving average. Report your findings
Moving average and weighed moving average. Report your findings
(a) Develop a three-year moving average. (b) Develop a four-year moving average.
Question 1 Sales for the Forever Young Cosmetics Company (in $ millions) are as follows: Year Sales ($ millions) Year Sales ($ Millions) Year Sales ($ Milions 1996 2.4 2003 4.4 2010 4.5 1997 2.7 2004 4.8 2011 4.8 1998 3.3 2005 5.1 2012 5.1 1999 4.6 2006 5.3 2013 5.5 2000 3.2 2007 5.2 2014 5.7 2001 3.9 2008 4.6 2002 4 2009 4.5 (a) Develop a three-year moving average. (b) Develop a four-year moving average. (c) Develop a...
research and prepare a report on simple regression analysis, moving average, and weighted-moving average
research and prepare a report on simple regression analysis, moving average, and weighted-moving average
what is the interpretation economically of an infinite vector moving average VMA(∞)
what is the interpretation economically of an infinite vector moving average VMA(∞)
Forecasting methods studied in this class are quantitative techniques including moving average, weighted moving average, exponential...
Forecasting methods studied in this class are quantitative techniques including moving average, weighted moving average, exponential smoothing, linear regression, and exponential smoothing with trend component. You are given a set of past demand data and asked to forecast demand for the future. What would you FIRST do to decide which demand forecasting method to use and why? Please choose one of the forecasting methods listed above.
Of the three quantitative forecasting techniques (moving average, weighted moving average, and exponential smoothing), which do...
Of the three quantitative forecasting techniques (moving average, weighted moving average, and exponential smoothing), which do you think provides the most accurate forecast and why?
Describe what is meant by a moving average and separately a trend line. Discuss the relative...
Describe what is meant by a moving average and separately a trend line. Discuss the relative benefits and disadvantages of using moving averages versus a trendline.
give the following data for stock prices and 5-day moving average. what is the closing stock...
give the following data for stock prices and 5-day moving average. what is the closing stock price on april 16th? date price close 5 day MA 4/17/2018 $20.35 $ 20.240 4/18/2018 $20.03 $20.280 4/19/2018 $20.89 $20.462 4/20/2018 $21.13 $20.636
What is value of standard deviation of the 3-year moving average of Germany’s GDP from 1951...
What is value of standard deviation of the 3-year moving average of Germany’s GDP from 1951 to 1982? (Note: You should compare this value with the standard deviation of the original German GDP time series). a. 4.24 b. 4.33 c. 4.41 d. 4.56 e. 4.69 Unit 7 Homework Data Age Systolic BP Year Stories Height Year Germany GDP 47 145 1990 54 770 1950 5.725433 65 162 1980 47 677 1951 6.256754 46 142 1990 28 428 1952 6.70308 67...
Venus has an average temperature of 460? C. What fraction of CO2 molecules are moving faster...
Venus has an average temperature of 460? C. What fraction of CO2 molecules are moving faster than 750 m/s? What percentage of the molecules are moving faster than the escape velocity of 10.4 km/s? (This will be a very small percentage...) (b) Answer both of these questions for H2.
ADVERTISEMENT
ADVERTISEMENT
ADVERTISEMENT