In: Finance
Consider a bond with a coupon of 7.2 percent, five years to maturity, and a current price of $1,027.60. Suppose the yield on the bond suddenly increases by 2 percent.
a. Use duration to estimate the new price of the bond. (Do not round intermediate calculations. Round your answer to 2 decimal places.)
Price: ______
b. Calculate the new bond price using the usual bond pricing formula. (Do not round intermediate calculations. Round your answer to 2 decimal places.)
Price: _____
a
K = N |
Bond Price =∑ [( Coupon)/(1 + YTM)^k] + Par value/(1 + YTM)^N |
k=1 |
K =5 |
1027.6 =∑ [(7.2*1000/100)/(1 + YTM/100)^k] + 1000/(1 + YTM/100)^5 |
k=1 |
YTM% = 6.54 |
Period | Cash Flow | Discounting factor | PV Cash Flow | Duration Calc |
0 | ($1,027.60) | =(1+YTM/number of coupon payments in the year)^period | =cashflow/discounting factor | =PV cashflow*period |
1 | 72.00 | 1.07 | 67.58 | 67.58 |
2 | 72.00 | 1.14 | 63.43 | 126.86 |
3 | 72.00 | 1.21 | 59.54 | 178.61 |
4 | 72.00 | 1.29 | 55.88 | 223.53 |
5 | 1,072.00 | 1.37 | 780.96 | 3,904.82 |
Total | 4,501.41 |
Macaulay duration =(∑ Duration calc)/(bond price*number of coupon per year) |
=4501.41/(1027.6*1) |
=4.380512 |
Modified duration = Macaulay duration/(1+YTM) |
=4.38/(1+0.0654) |
=4.111612 |
Using only modified duration |
Mod.duration prediction = -Mod. Duration*Yield_Change*Bond_Price |
=-4.11*0.02*1027.6 |
=-84.5 |
%age change in bond price=Mod.duration prediction/bond price |
=-84.5/1027.6 |
=-8.22% |
New bond price = bond price+Modified duration prediction |
=1027.6-84.5 |
=943.1 |
b
K = N |
Bond Price =∑ [( Coupon)/(1 + YTM)^k] + Par value/(1 + YTM)^N |
k=1 |
K =5 |
Bond Price =∑ [(7.2*1000/100)/(1 + 8.54/100)^k] + 1000/(1 + 8.54/100)^5 |
k=1 |
Bond Price = 947.25 |