In: Statistics and Probability
In this problem, assume that the distribution of differences is
approximately normal. Note: For degrees of freedom
d.f. not in the Student's t table, use
the closest d.f. that is smaller. In
some situations, this choice of d.f. may increase
the P-value by a small amount and therefore produce a
slightly more "conservative" answer.
At five weather stations on Trail Ridge Road in Rocky Mountain
National Park, the peak wind gusts (in miles per hour) for January
and April are recorded below.
Weather Station | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
January | 139 | 120 | 126 | 64 | 78 |
April | 108 | 115 | 100 | 88 | 61 |
Does this information indicate that the peak wind gusts are higher in January than in April? Use α = 0.01. (Let
d = January − April.)(a) What is the level of
significance?
State the null and alternate hypotheses. Will you use a
left-tailed, right-tailed, or two-tailed test?
H0: μd = 0; H1: μd ≠ 0; two-tailed H0: μd = 0; H1: μd > 0; right-tailed H0: μd = 0; H1: μd < 0; left-tailed H0: μd > 0; H1: μd = 0; right-tailed
(b) What sampling distribution will you use? What assumptions are
you making?
The standard normal. We assume that d has an approximately uniform distribution. The Student's t. We assume that d has an approximately uniform distribution. The standard normal. We assume that d has an approximately normal distribution. The Student's t. We assume that d has an approximately normal distribution.
What is the value of the sample test statistic? (Round your answer
to three decimal places.)
Given that,
null, H0: Ud = 0
alternate, H1: Ud > 0
level of significance, α = 0.01
from standard normal table,right tailed t α/2 =3.747
since our test is right-tailed
reject Ho, if to > 3.747
we use Test Statistic
to= d/ (S/√n)
where
value of S^2 = [ ∑ di^2 – ( ∑ di )^2 / n ] / ( n-1 ) )
d = ( Xi-Yi)/n) = 15
We have d = 15
pooled standard deviation = calculate value of Sd= √S^2 = sqrt [
1967-(75^2/5 ] / 4 = 14.509
to = d/ (S/√n) = 2.312
critical Value
the value of |t α| with n-1 = 4 d.f is 3.747
we got |t o| = 2.312 & |t α| =3.747
make Decision
hence Value of |to | < | t α | and here we do not reject
Ho
p-value :right tail - Ha : ( p > 2.3118 ) = 0.04094
hence value of p0.01 < 0.04094,here we do not reject Ho
ANSWERS
---------------
a.
level of significance =0.01
null, H0: Ud = 0
alternate, H1: Ud > 0
b.
We assume that d has an approximately normal distribution.
test statistic: 2.312
critical value: reject Ho, if to > 3.747
decision: Do not Reject Ho
p-value: 0.04094
we do not have enough evidence to support the claim that
information indicate that the peak wind gusts are higher in January
than in April