In: Statistics and Probability
In this problem, assume that the distribution of differences is
approximately normal. Note: For degrees of freedom
d.f. not in the Student's t table, use
the closest d.f. that is smaller. In
some situations, this choice of d.f. may increase
the P-value by a small amount and therefore produce a
slightly more "conservative" answer.
In environmental studies, sex ratios are of great importance. Wolf
society, packs, and ecology have been studied extensively at
different locations in the U.S. and foreign countries. Sex ratios
for eight study sites in northern Europe are shown below.
Location of Wolf Pack | % Males (Winter) | % Males (Summer) |
Finland | 62 | 67 |
Finland | 60 | 65 |
Finland | 84 | 53 |
Lapland | 55 | 48 |
Lapland | 64 | 55 |
Russia | 50 | 50 |
Russia | 41 | 50 |
Russia | 55 | 45 |
It is hypothesized that in winter, "loner" males (not present in summer packs) join the pack to increase survival rate. Use a 5% level of significance to test the claim that the average percentage of males in a wolf pack is higher in winter. (Let d = winter − summer.)
(a) What is the level of significance?
State the null and alternate hypotheses. Will you use a
left-tailed, right-tailed, or two-tailed test?
H0: μd = 0; H1: μd > 0; right-tailed H0: μd = 0; H1: μd ≠ 0; two-tailed H0: μd > 0; H1: μd = 0; right-tailed H0: μd = 0; H1: μd < 0; left-tailed
(b) What sampling distribution will you use? What assumptions are
you making?
The Student's t. We assume that d has an approximately normal distribution. The standard normal. We assume that d has an approximately uniform distribution. The Student's t. We assume that d has an approximately uniform distribution. The standard normal. We assume that d has an approximately normal distribution.
What is the value of the sample test statistic? (Round your answer
to three decimal places.)
(c) Find (or estimate) the P-value.
P-value > 0.250 0.125 < P-value < 0.250 0.050 < P-value < 0.125 0.025 < P-value < 0.050 0.005 < P-value < 0.025 P-value < 0.005
It is one tailed test
H0: μd = 0; H1: μd > 0
level of significance
The Student's t. We assume that d has an approximately normal distribution.
Test Statistic :-
t = 1.052
Test Criteria :-
Reject null hypothesis if
Result :- Fail to reject null hypothesis
Decision based on P value
P - value = P ( t > 1.0521 ) = 0.1639
Reject null hypothesis if P value <
level of significance
P - value = 0.1639 > 0.05 ,hence we fail to reject null
hypothesis
Conclusion :- Fail to reject null hypothesis
0.125 < P-value < 0.250
There is insufficient evidence to support the claim that the average percentage of males in a wolf pack is higher in winter.