Question

In: Statistics and Probability

Let x be a random variable that represents white blood cell count per cubic milliliter of...

Let x be a random variable that represents white blood cell count per cubic milliliter of whole blood. Assume that x has a distribution that is approximately normal, with mean μ = 6150and estimated standard deviation σ = 2200. A test result of x < 3500 is an indication of leukopenia. This indicates bone marrow depression that may be the result of a viral infection.

(a) What is the probability that, on a single test, x is less than 3500? (Round your answer to four decimal places.)


(b) Suppose a doctor uses the average x for two tests taken about a week apart. What can we say about the probability distribution of x?

The probability distribution of x is not normal.The probability distribution of x is approximately normal with μx = 6150 and σx = 1555.63.     The probability distribution of x is approximately normal with μx = 6150 and σx = 2200.The probability distribution of x is approximately normal with μx = 6150 and σx = 1100.00.


What is the probability of x < 3500? (Round your answer to four decimal places.)


(c) Repeat part (b) for n = 3 tests taken a week apart. (Round your answer to four decimal places.)


(d) Compare your answers to parts (a), (b), and (c). How did the probabilities change as n increased?

The probabilities decreased as n increased.The probabilities increased as n increased.     The probabilities stayed the same as n increased.


If a person had x < 3500 based on three tests, what conclusion would you draw as a doctor or a nurse?

It would be an extremely rare event for a person to have two or three tests below 3,500 purely by chance. The person probably has leukopenia.It would be a common event for a person to have two or three tests below 3,500 purely by chance. The person probably does not have leukopenia.     It would be a common event for a person to have two or three tests below 3,500 purely by chance. The person probably has leukopenia.It would be an extremely rare event for a person to have two or three tests below 3,500 purely by chance. The person probably does not have leukopenia.

Solutions

Expert Solution

Given

It is given that white blood cell counts are approximately normally distributed

(a) P(x < 3500)

Since, it is given that the

For the given values, Z is calculated as below (since it is normally distributed)

Hence, the given sample size is 1, n = 1. Therefore, the z value for x = 3500 is given as

Hence, P(X < 3500) = P(Z < -1.2045). The probability value can be estinmated from the standard normal distribution using Excel with the function NORMSDIST. The final function is given as NORMSDIST(-1.2045)

The answer is given as 0.1142

Therefore, the probability that the x < 3500 is given as 0.1142

(b) For the same mean and standard deviation with the sample size of 2 that is n = 2 the distribution is given as normally distributed with mean = 6150. Becuase for normally distributed data the popuilation mean will be approximately same as sample mean. And the standard error is given as /. Hence, the standard devation is given as 1555.63. Hence, the answer final answer is The probability distribution of x is approximately normal with μx = 6150 and σx = 1555.63.     

Updated Probability of x < 3500 is given as

Hence, P(X < 3500) = P(Z < -1.7035). The probability value can be estinmated from the standard normal distribution using Excel with the function NORMSDIST. The final function is given as =NORMSDIST(-1.7035)

The answer is given as

Therefore, the probability that the x < 3500 is given as 0.0442

(c) Probability of x < 3500 for n = 3

Hence, P(X < 3500) = P(Z < -2.0863). The probability value can be estinmated from the standard normal distribution using Excel with the function NORMSDIST. The final function is given as NORMSDIST(-2.0863)

The answer is given as 0.0185

Therefore, the probability that the x < 3500 is given as 0.0185

(d)

The probabilities for n = 1, 2 and 3 are given as 0.1142, 0.0442 and 0.0185 respectively. It can be noticed that as the n increases the probability decreases. Hence, the ansewr is given as The probabilities decreased as n increased.

The final conclusion is given as

Since the probability decreased for increased number of sample size, it can be concluded that The person probably does not have leukopenia


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