In: Statistics and Probability
Let x be a random variable that represents white blood cell count per cubic milliliter of whole blood. Assume that x has a distribution that is approximately normal, with mean μ = 7500 and estimated standard deviation σ = 2850. A test result of x < 3500 is an indication of leukopenia. This indicates bone marrow depression that may be the result of a viral infection.
(a) What is the probability that, on a single test, x
is less than 3500? (Round your answer to four decimal
places.)
(b) Suppose a doctor uses the average x-bar for two tests
taken about a week apart. What can we say about the probability
distribution of x-bar?
The probability distribution of x-bar is approximately normal with μx-bar = 7500 and σx-bar = 2850.
The probability distribution of x-bar is not normal.
The probability distribution of x-bar is approximately normal with μx-bar = 7500 and σx-bar = 1425.00.
The probability distribution of x-bar is approximately normal with μx-bar = 7500 and σx-bar = 2015.25.
What is the probability of x-bar < 3500? (Round your
answer to four decimal places.)
(c) Repeat part (b) for n = 3 tests taken a week apart.
(Round your answer to four decimal places.)
(d) Compare your answers to parts (a), (b), and (c). How did the
probabilities change as n increased?
The probabilities decreased as n increased.
The probabilities increased as n increased.
The probabilities stayed the same as n increased.
If a person had x-bar < 3500 based on three tests, what
conclusion would you draw as a doctor or a nurse?
It would be an extremely rare event for a person to have two or three tests below 3,500 purely by chance. The person probably does not have leukopenia.
It would be an extremely rare event for a person to have two or three tests below 3,500 purely by chance. The person probably has leukopenia.
It would be a common event for a person to have two or three tests below 3,500 purely by chance. The person probably has leukopenia.
It would be a common event for a person to have two or three tests below 3,500 purely by chance. The person probably does not have leukopenia.
Solution :
Given that ,
mean = = 7500
standard deviation = = 2850
a) P(x < 3500) = P[(x - ) / < (3500 - 7500) / 2850]
= P(z < -1.40)
Using z table,
= 0.0808
b) n = 2
= = 7500
= / n = 2850/ 2 = 2015.25
The probability distribution of x is approximately normal with μx = 7500 and σx = 2015.25
P( < 3500) = P(( - ) / < (3500 - 7500) / 2015.25)
= P(z < -1.98)
Using z table
= 0.0239
c) n = 3
= = 7500
= / n = 2850/ 3 = 1645.45
The probability distribution of x is approximately normal with μx = 7500 and σx = 1645.45
P( < 3500) = P(( - ) / < (3500 - 7500) / 1645.45)
= P(z < -2.43)
Using z table
= 0.0075
d) The probabilities decreased as n increased.
It would be an extremely rare event for a person to have two or three tests below 3,500 purely by chance. The person probably has leukopenia