Question

In: Statistics and Probability

Let x be a random variable that represents white blood cell count per cubic milliliter of...

Let x be a random variable that represents white blood cell count per cubic milliliter of whole blood. Assume that x has a distribution that is approximately normal, with mean μ = 6200 and estimated standard deviation σ = 2950. A test result of x < 3500 is an indication of leukopenia. This indicates bone marrow depression that may be the result of a viral infection.

(a) What is the probability that, on a single test, x is less than 3500? (Round your answer to four decimal places.)


(b) Suppose a doctor uses the average x for two tests taken about a week apart. What can we say about the probability distribution of x?

The probability distribution of x is not normal.

The probability distribution of x is approximately normal with μx = 6200 and σx = 1475.00.    

The probability distribution of x is approximately normal with μx = 6200 and σx = 2950.

The probability distribution of x is approximately normal with μx = 6200 and σx = 2085.97.


What is the probability of x < 3500? (Round your answer to four decimal places.)


(c) Repeat part (b) for n = 3 tests taken a week apart. (Round your answer to four decimal places.)


(d) Compare your answers to parts (a), (b), and (c). How did the probabilities change as n increased?

The probabilities decreased as n increased.

The probabilities increased as n increased.    

The probabilities stayed the same as n increased.


If a person had x < 3500 based on three tests, what conclusion would you draw as a doctor or a nurse?

It would be a common event for a person to have two or three tests below 3,500 purely by chance. The person probably does not have leukopenia.

It would be an extremely rare event for a person to have two or three tests below 3,500 purely by chance. The person probably does not have leukopenia.   

It would be an extremely rare event for a person to have two or three tests below 3,500 purely by chance. The person probably has leukopenia.

It would be a common event for a person to have two or three tests below 3,500 purely by chance. The person probably has leukopenia.

Solutions

Expert Solution

Solution :

Given that ,

mean = = 6200

standard deviation = = 2950

a) P(x < 3500) = P[(x - ) / < (3500 - 6200) / 2950]

= P(z < -0.92)

Using z table,

= 0.1788

b) n = 2

= = 6200

= / n = 2950/ 2 = 2085.97

The probability distribution of x is approximately normal with μx = 6200 and σx = 2085.97

P( < 3500) = P(( - ) / < (3500 - 6200) / 2085.97)

= P(z < -1.29)

Using z table

= 0.0985

c) n = 3

= = 6200

= / n = 2950/ 3 = 1703.18

The probability distribution of x is approximately normal with μx = 6200 and σx = 1703.18

P( < 3500) = P(( - ) / < (3500 - 6200) / 1703.18)

= P(z < -1.59)

Using z table

= 0.0559

d) The probabilities decreased as n increased.

It would be an extremely rare event for a person to have two or three tests below 3,500 purely by chance. The person probably has leukopenia


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