In: Finance
Pampa RV, Inc. is considering the acquisition of Chico Clothing Company (CCC) for a price of $12 per share. Pampa’s has 500,000 shares of common stock outstanding, currently trading at $9.75 per share. The book value of the common stock is $5 per share. Pampa also has bonds with a market value of $3,500,000 and a yield to maturity of 3.4%. Based on current market valuations, Pampa is currently achieving its target debt to equity ratio. Pampa’s equity beta is 0.80.
CCC’s cost of goods sold (COGS) is expected to be 38% of sales revenues, and selling, general and administrative (SG&A) expenses are expected to be 12% of revenues. The firm is 100% equity financed and has 100,000 shares of common stock outstanding. Its equity beta is estimated to be 1.353.
CCC has experienced rapid growth over the last ten years. However, your analysis of industry structure suggests that competition in the beauty pageant clothing and accessories market is likely to increase in the next few years. Thus, you forecast that the perpetual growth rate for free cash flows after five years will be a modest 1.5% per year. The corporate tax rate is 40% for all firms.
Table 1: Forecast Data for Chico Clothing Company Year |
|||||||
Year 1 |
Year 2 |
Year 3 |
Year 4 |
Year 5 |
|||
Sales Revenue |
300,000 |
335,000 |
375,000 |
410,000 |
575,000 |
||
Investment in CapEx and NWC |
18,000 |
25,000 |
40,000 |
50,000 |
65,000 |
||
15,000 |
30,000 |
40,000 |
52,000 |
60,000 |
|||
Depreciation |
|||||||
Table 2 Market Data Current yield to maturity on 30 year treasury bonds |
2.50% |
Estimate of expected average return on the S&P 500 over the next 30 years |
7.50% |
1) What is the value of Chico Clothing Company? Assume that your valuation is performed today at Year 0, and that the revenues shown in Table 1 are end-of-year year forecasts.
2) Suppose Pampa RV offers to pay $12 for each of CCC’s outstanding shares. If the market fully impounds this information, what will be the new price per share of Pampa’s common stock?
3) What is the most that Pampa should pay for CCC? Why?
4) Estimate the beta of the combined entity (Pampa + CCC) after the merger. Based on your answer, will the merged firm’s cost of capital to be higher or lower than Pampa’s current cost of capital? Explain your answer. Hint: Firm beta is a value-weighted average of individual betas.
Year | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
1.Sales Revenue | 300,000 | 335,000 | 375,000 | 410,000 | 575,000 |
2.Less: COGS(sales*38%) | -114,000 | -127,300 | -142,500 | -155,800 | -218,500 |
3.Less: S,G&A(Sales *12%) | -36,000 | -40,200 | -45,000 | -49,200 | -69,000 |
4.EBIT(1+2+3) | 150,000 | 167,500 | 187,500 | 205,000 | 287,500 |
5.Less:Tax at 40%(4*40%) | -60,000 | -67,000 | -75,000 | -82,000 | -115,000 |
6. Add:Depreciation | 15,000 | 30,000 | 40,000 | 52,000 | 60,000 |
7.Less:Investment in CapEx and NWC | -18,000 | -25,000 | -40,000 | -50,000 | -65,000 |
8.FCF(4+5+6+7) | 87,000 | 105,500 | 112,500 | 125,000 | 167,500 |
9.Terminal FCF(FCF6/(WACC-g))(167500*1.015)/(9.27%-1.5%)= | 2,188,063 | ||||
10. Total FCF(8+9) | 87,000 | 105,500 | 112,500 | 125,000 | 2,355,563 |
11.PV F at 9.27%(1/1.0927^Yr.n) | 0.91516 | 0.83753 | 0.76647 | 0.70145 | 0.64194 |
12.PV at 9.27%(10*11) | 79619 | 88359 | 86228 | 87681 | 1512133 |
13.NPV(sum of Row 12)(CCC's Value) | 1,854,021 | ||||
14. No.of common shares o/s | 100,000 | ||||
15. Value /share for CCC(13/14) | 18.54 | ||||
ANSWER:1) Value of Chico Clothing Company= | 1,854,021 |
CCC's WACC to discount its FCFs=is its cost of equity |
which is as per CAPM, |
ke=RFR+(Beta*(Market return-RFR)) |
ie.2.5%+(1.353*(7.5%-2.5%)) |
9.27% |
2..Market value of Pampa's equity(500000*9.75) | 4875000 |
Add: Market value of bonds | 3500000 |
Total Pampa's Firm value | 8375000 |
Less: Cash paid for CCC's shares(100000*12) | -1200000 |
New firm value | 7175000 |
less: Market value of bonds | -3500000 |
Market value of equity | 3675000 |
No.of equity shares o/s | 500000 |
New Price/share of Pampa = $ | 7.35 |
3..Pampa's WACC | ||
Mkt.value | Wt.to total | |
MV of equity | 4875000 | 58.21% |
MV of debt | 3500000 | 41.79% |
Total capital | 8375000 | 100% |
Pampa's cost of rquity as per CAPM= | ||
2.5%+(0.8*(7.5%-2.5%))= | ||
6.50% | ||
WACC(Pampa) = | ||
(41.79%*3.4%*(1-40%))+(58.21%*6.5%)= | ||
4.64% |
3. Maximum Pampa should pay for CCC is the latter's FCFs discounted at its own WACC | |||||
10. Total FCF(8+9) | 87000 | 105500 | 112500 | 125000 | 2355563 |
11.PV F at 4.64%%(1/1.0464^Yr.n) | 0.9557 | 0.9133 | 0.8728 | 0.8341 | 0.7971 |
12.PV at 9.27%(10*11) | 83142 | 96351 | 98188 | 104260 | 1877613 |
13.NPV(sum of Row 12) | 2259555 |