In: Statistics and Probability
A research institute poll asked respondents if they felt vulnerable to identity theft. In the poll, n=941 and x=542 who said "yes." Use a 90% confidence level.
1. Find the best point estimate of the population proportion p. (round to three decimal places as needed)
2. Identify the value of the margin of error E (round to three decimal places as needed)
3. Construct the confident interval __< p < __
4. write a statement that correctly interprets the confidence interval. Choose the correct answer below.
a. one has 90% of confidence that the interval from the lower bound to the upper bound actually does contain the true value of the population proportion.
b. one has 90% that the sample proportion is equal to the population proportion.
c. there is a 90% chance that the true value of the population proportion will fall between the lower bound and upper bound
d. 90% of sample proportion will fall between the lower bound and the upper bound
Solution :
Given that,
1) Point estimate = sample proportion = = x / n 542 / 941 = 0.576
1 - = 1 - 0.576 = 0.424
Z/2 = Z0.05 = 1.645
2) Margin of error = E = Z / 2 * (( * (1 - )) / n)
= 1.645 (((0.576 * 0.424) / 941)
= 0.027
3) A 90% confidence interval for population proportion p is ,
- E < p < + E
0.576 - 0.027 < p < 0.576 + 0.027
( 0.549 < p < 0.603 )
4) a. one has 90% of confidence that the interval from the lower bound to the upper bound actually does contain the true value of the population proportion.