In: Finance
HAND CALCULATIONS ONLY. NO EXCEL.
You forecast there are three potential scenarios for the economy: a bull, flat, and bear market. You also estimate the returns for a stock and bond mutual fund as follows:
Economic Scenario |
Stock Fund |
Bond Fund |
Probability of Scenario |
Recession |
-18% |
6% |
0.3 |
Flat |
8% |
4% |
0.45 |
Boom |
20% |
-8% |
0.25 |
Using this information, you find for the stock fund: E(rS)=0.032 and σS=0.1469, and for the bond fund: E(rB)=0.016 and σB=0.0561.
You put 70% of your portfolio in the stock fund and the remaining 30% in the bond fund.
JUST WRITTEN IN EXCEL, OTHERWISE ALL PURE SIMPLE CALCULATIONS. NO EXCEL FUNCTION IS USED. THANK YOU