In: Finance
HAND CALCULATIONS ONLY. NO EXCEL.
You forecast there are three potential scenarios for the economy: a bull, flat, and bear market. You also estimate the returns for a stock and bond mutual fund as follows:
| 
 Economic Scenario  | 
 Stock Fund  | 
 Bond Fund  | 
 Probability of Scenario  | 
| 
 Recession  | 
 -18%  | 
 6%  | 
 0.3  | 
| 
 Flat  | 
 8%  | 
 4%  | 
 0.45  | 
| 
 Boom  | 
 20%  | 
 -8%  | 
 0.25  | 
Using this information, you find for the stock fund: E(rS)=0.032 and σS=0.1469, and for the bond fund: E(rB)=0.016 and σB=0.0561.
You put 70% of your portfolio in the stock fund and the remaining 30% in the bond fund.
JUST WRITTEN IN EXCEL, OTHERWISE ALL PURE SIMPLE CALCULATIONS. NO EXCEL FUNCTION IS USED. THANK YOU

