In: Operations Management
Identify the biases that frequently cause managers to make bad decisions
The biases that frequently cause managers to make bad decisions are as follows:
1) Overconfidence Bias: Sometimes managers are excessively
confident about their decisions. They think that their decisions
are 100% right. But actually, they are not. Their decisions are
right but not 100%, the correctness lies between 80-90%.
Overconfidence of managers' correctness can lead to bad decision
making. Managers need to be careful about their overconfidence bias
while taking any decision. They need to expand their knowledge
level and improve interpersonal skills to keep themselves miles
away from overconfidence.
2) Confirmation Bias: Confirmation bias is a type of bias that
involves supporting information that confirms someone's existing
beliefs or biases. For example, suppose a person holds a belief
that smart and good looking people earn more than dull people.
Whenever this person encounters an individual who is smart, good
looking and earning a hefty amount, he gives more importance on
this evidence that supports his existing belief. This person might
collect more proof that further strengthens his belief.
Managers having confirmation bias often make bad decisions by
trying to collect proofs that will support their existing beliefs,
they do not want to look at the other side. They don't even listen
to others' opinion against their existing belief system.
3) Representative Bias: Representative Bias occurs when similar objects or events confuses people in decision making process. Managers often make mistake of believing that two similar things are more closely correlated than they actually are. Sometimes managers make decisions about two similar events from their appearance rather than drawing a conclusion statistically or logically. This is representative bias.
4) Availability Bias: Managers often make decisions by using information readily available to them. They don't invest their time to look for more information. This results in bad decision as the information available to them are sometimes not adequate enough to draw a final conclusion.